Sha Tin · 2019-12-08
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WIN BRIGHT Closed strongly 2.00.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Matsuoka · Y Hatakeyama | M Matsuoka | Y Hatakeyama | 8 | 5.4 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | MAGIC WAND Closed strongly CP/XB R Moore · A P O'Brien | R Moore | A P O'Brien | 2 | 5.9 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | RISE HIGH Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 3.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FURORE Closed strongly B H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 3.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | EDISA Closed strongly SR S Pasquier · de Royer Dupre | S Pasquier | de Royer Dupre | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORIOUS FOREVER B/XB1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 9.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DARK DREAM Closed strongly CP-/B1 D Lane · F C Lor | D Lane | F C Lor | 7 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TIME WARP Led early TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 39.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. WIN BRIGHT, ridden by M Matsuoka and trained by Y Hatakeyama, won by SH, with MAGIC WAND second and RISE HIGH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite RISE HIGH finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WIN BRIGHT | 24.4% | 4.09 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MAGIC WAND | 19.1% | 5.24 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | RISE HIGH | 15.4% | 6.50 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | FURORE | 12.8% | 7.79 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | EDISA | 9.1% | 11.05 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | TIME WARP | 8.4% | 11.85 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIOUS FOREVER | 8.2% | 12.18 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | DARK DREAM | 2.5% | 39.66 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 54
PLACE
1 17
2 14
7 17
QUINELLA
1,7 166.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 33
1,7 62
2,7 37.5
TIERCE
1,7,2 1,037
TRIO
1,2,7 184
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 57
QUARTET
1,7,2,6 1,701
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 22
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
9/1 1,386.5
9/7 256.5