Sha Tin · 2019-12-08
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Closed strongly 1.21.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 9 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MONICA Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · J Moore | J McDonald | J Moore | 6 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER STAR Closed strongly J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 7 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ALCARI Closed strongly B D Lane · P F Yiu | D Lane | P F Yiu | 11 | 36.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR B M Guyon · C S Shum | M Guyon | C S Shum | 2 | 9.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL Led early B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE Closed strongly K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 10 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH H- M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 5 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 3 | 205.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HERCULES Closed strongly B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 14 | 208.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RELENTLESS ME B/XB K H Chan · D J Whyte | K H Chan | D J Whyte | 8 | 6.7 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SACRED IBIS BO H Bowman · P O'Sullivan | H Bowman | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 16.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | WINNING DELIGHT B Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | TAILOR MADE B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 12 | 388.0 | 21-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. STAR OF YUEN LONG, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K L Man, won by 1-1/4, with MONICA second and SUPER STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite SUPER STAR finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPER STAR | 20.6% | 4.86 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR | 17.2% | 5.83 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING DELIGHT | 12.9% | 7.77 | 13 |
| 4 | 0 | LAKESHORE EAGLE | 9.6% | 10.43 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | RELENTLESS ME | 8.1% | 12.37 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 6.8% | 14.70 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 5.6% | 17.93 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | MONICA | 5.4% | 18.57 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | CLASSIC POSH | 4.1% | 24.41 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | ALCARI | 3.9% | 25.32 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 3.8% | 26.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 0.7% | 139.65 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | SKYEY SUPREME | 0.7% | 140.96 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | HERCULES | 0.7% | 147.83 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 85.5
PLACE
2 17.5
7 26.5
9 17
QUINELLA
7,9 174.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 54
2,9 36.5
7,9 63
TIERCE
7,9,2 1,147
TRIO
2,7,9 124
FIRST 4
2,5,7,9 917
QUARTET
7,9,2,5 28,530
3 PICK 1
A2 28.5
A1 —
A3 —
All pools (3 more)
5TH DOUBLE
1/7 466
1/9 58
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,11/1,4,13,14/2,7,9 10,035
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,11/1,4,13,14/Any Combination 128