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Sha Tin · 2019-12-08

Race 2

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.66
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 EASY GO EASY WIN Wire to wire B/XB 1.47.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte 6 34.0 N
2 0 WORLD FAMOUS Closed strongly XB/B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu 4 7.5 N
3 0 RULE THEE Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 7 86.0 2-1/4
4 0 VINCY Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor 5 13.0 3-1/4
5 0 CINQUANTE CINQ M Chadwick · T P Yung 12 7.9 3-1/2
6 0 SPLENDOUR AND GOLD Closed strongly U Rispoli · C H Yip 8 15.0 3-1/2
7 0 HOME WIN B- O Murphy · C W Chang 9 172.0 4-1/2
8 0 CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · J Moore 3 4.3 5
9 0 MONGOLIAN KING C Lemaire · Y S Tsui 2 18.0 5-1/4
10 0 LONDON HALL Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall 10 14.0 5-1/4
11 0 I DO B-/H-/V1/TT Z Purton · W Y So 11 5.1 6
12 0 JADE FORTUNE B S De Sousa · K L Man 1 130.0 6-1/4
13 0 GO BALLISTIC SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris 14 45.0 6-1/4
14 0 HAPPY SEBRING B/TT L Dettori · A S Cruz 13 5.2 7-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. EASY GO EASY WIN, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with WORLD FAMOUS second and RULE THEE third. The winner led throughout. The 4.3 favourite CHAMPION SUPREME finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. EASY GO EASY WIN—2. WORLD FAMOUS+0.05L3. RULE THEE+2.25L4. VINCY+3.25L5. CINQUANTE CINQ+3.5L6. SPLENDOUR AND GOLD+3.5L7. HOME WIN+4.5L8. CHAMPION SUPREME+5L9. MONGOLIAN KING+5.25L10. LONDON HALL+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick VINCY (19.6%) finished 4th — the winner EASY GO EASY WIN was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 VINCY 19.6% 5.10 4
2 0 I DO 16.1% 6.21 11
3 0 CINQUANTE CINQ 14.0% 7.15 5
4 0 WORLD FAMOUS 8.9% 11.22 2
5 0 SPLENDOUR AND GOLD 7.2% 13.96 6
6 0 CHAMPION SUPREME 6.9% 14.48 8
7 0 HAPPY SEBRING 6.7% 14.92 14
8 0 MONGOLIAN KING 5.1% 19.76 9
9 0 LONDON HALL 4.7% 21.41 10
10 0 GO BALLISTIC 2.9% 34.61 13
11 0 EASY GO EASY WIN 2.7% 36.68 1
12 0 RULE THEE 2.4% 41.04 3
13 0 JADE FORTUNE 2.2% 45.30 12
14 0 HOME WIN 0.6% 163.17 7
VINCYI DOCINQUANTE CINQWORLD FAMOUSSPLENDOUR AND GOLDCHAMPION SUPREMEHAPPY SEBRINGMONGOLIAN KINGLONDON HALLGO BALLISTICEASY GO EASY WIN — wonRULE THEEJADE FORTUNEHOME WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 346.5

PLACE

1 88.5

9 30

13 147.5

QUINELLA

1,9 1,443

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 423.5

1,13 2,100

9,13 940.5

TIERCE

1,9,13 128,597

TRIO

1,9,13 24,473

FIRST 4

1,5,9,13 31,306

QUARTET

1,9,13,5 606,196

1ST DOUBLE

7/1 3,130

7/9 153.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 30

A2 —

A1 —