Sha Tin · 2019-12-08
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. EASY GO EASY WIN, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with WORLD FAMOUS second and RULE THEE third. The winner led throughout. The 4.3 favourite CHAMPION SUPREME finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EASY GO EASY WIN Wire to wire B/XB 1.47.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 34.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | WORLD FAMOUS Closed strongly XB/B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 13 | RULE THEE Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 86.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | VINCY Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | CINQUANTE CINQ M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD Closed strongly U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HOME WIN B- O Murphy · C W Chang | O Murphy | C W Chang | 9 | 172.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT J McDonald · J Moore | J McDonald | J Moore | 3 | 4.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | MONGOLIAN KING C Lemaire · Y S Tsui | C Lemaire | Y S Tsui | 2 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | I DO B-/H-/V1/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 5.1 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | JADE FORTUNE B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 130.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 14 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | HAPPY SEBRING B/TT L Dettori · A S Cruz | L Dettori | A S Cruz | 13 | 5.2 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VINCY | 19.6% | 5.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | I DO | 16.1% | 6.21 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 14.0% | 7.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | WORLD FAMOUS | 8.9% | 11.22 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD | 7.2% | 13.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 6.9% | 14.48 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY SEBRING | 6.7% | 14.92 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | MONGOLIAN KING | 5.1% | 19.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | LONDON HALL | 4.7% | 21.41 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.9% | 34.61 | 13 |
| 11 | 1 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 2.7% | 36.68 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | RULE THEE | 2.4% | 41.04 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | JADE FORTUNE | 2.2% | 45.30 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | HOME WIN | 0.6% | 163.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 346.5
PLACE
1 88.5
9 30
13 147.5
QUINELLA
1,9 1,443
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 423.5
1,13 2,100
9,13 940.5
TIERCE
1,9,13 128,597
TRIO
1,9,13 24,473
FIRST 4
1,5,9,13 31,306
QUARTET
1,9,13,5 606,196
1ST DOUBLE
7/1 3,130
7/9 153.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 30