Sha Tin · 2019-12-08
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MORE THAN THIS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with PRECIOUSSHIP second and ENRICHMENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly 1.33.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 2.8 | HD |
| 2 | 14 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 13 | ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 12 | 26.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | NICCONI EXPRESS Closed strongly P C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER OASIS Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 13 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS Closed strongly A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 128.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 11 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | JOYFUL TRINITY Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 14 | 126.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | STAR PERFORMANCE H/TT L Dettori · A S Cruz | L Dettori | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | ENJOYING B/XB A Sanna · J Moore | A Sanna | J Moore | 3 | 141.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 2 | MORETHANLUCKY B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 66.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT1 M Guyon · C H Yip | M Guyon | C H Yip | 5 | 122.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | GOLD CHEST Led early TT C Lemaire · R Gibson | C Lemaire | R Gibson | 2 | 50.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MORE THAN THIS | 23.4% | 4.26 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 9.9% | 10.05 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | NICCONI EXPRESS | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER OASIS | 7.1% | 14.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 6.1% | 16.29 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 4.6% | 21.69 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLD CHEST | 4.0% | 25.31 | 14 |
| 9 | 13 | ENRICHMENT | 3.0% | 33.06 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | MORETHANLUCKY | 2.3% | 43.95 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | ENJOYING | 2.0% | 50.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.9% | 51.29 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | JOYFUL TRINITY | 1.8% | 55.66 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS | 1.5% | 68.14 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 28
PLACE
4 13.5
13 64
14 28.5
QUINELLA
4,14 142.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,13 129.5
4,14 55.5
13,14 285.5
TIERCE
4,14,13 3,947
TRIO
4,13,14 1,296
FIRST 4
4,7,13,14 771
QUARTET
4,14,13,7 14,337
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/4,13,14 30,394
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 150
4/14 118.5
SIX UP
1,4/7,9/4,9/1,7/2,4/4,14 1,488
1/7/9/1/4/4 743,367
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/4/4 611
1/4/14 519