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Sha Tin · 2019-12-08

Race 10

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.90
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly 1.33.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K W Lui 10 2.8 HD
2 0 PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu 9 10.0 HD
3 0 ENRICHMENT Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · J Size 12 26.0 N
4 0 NICCONI EXPRESS Closed strongly P C Schofield · J Size 6 4.1 3/4
5 0 SUPER OASIS Z Purton · F C Lor 8 10.0 2
6 0 NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly H Bowman · T P Yung 13 19.0 2
7 0 AMAZING BEATS Closed strongly A Badel · P O'Sullivan 7 128.0 2-1/4
8 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT J Moreira · C S Shum 11 6.1 2-3/4
9 0 JOYFUL TRINITY Closed strongly B Shinn · C Fownes 14 126.0 2-3/4
10 0 STAR PERFORMANCE H/TT L Dettori · A S Cruz 4 9.2 3
11 0 ENJOYING B/XB A Sanna · J Moore 3 141.0 4
12 0 MORETHANLUCKY B M Chadwick · F C Lor 1 66.0 5-1/4
13 0 RACING FIGHTER B/TT1 M Guyon · C H Yip 5 122.0 7-1/2
14 0 GOLD CHEST Led early TT C Lemaire · R Gibson 2 50.0 9

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MORE THAN THIS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with PRECIOUSSHIP second and ENRICHMENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MORE THAN THIS—2. PRECIOUSSHIP+0.2L3. ENRICHMENT+0.05L4. NICCONI EXPRESS+0.75L5. SUPER OASIS+2L6. NOT USUAL TALENT+2L7. AMAZING BEATS+2.25L8. PLAYA DEL PUENTE+2.75L9. JOYFUL TRINITY+2.75L10. STAR PERFORMANCE+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick MORE THAN THIS (23.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MORE THAN THIS 23.4% 4.26 1
2 0 PLAYA DEL PUENTE 22.6% 4.42 8
3 0 STAR PERFORMANCE 9.9% 10.05 10
4 0 NICCONI EXPRESS 9.7% 10.33 4
5 0 SUPER OASIS 7.1% 14.08 5
6 0 PRECIOUSSHIP 6.1% 16.29 2
7 0 NOT USUAL TALENT 4.6% 21.69 6
8 0 GOLD CHEST 4.0% 25.31 14
9 0 ENRICHMENT 3.0% 33.06 3
10 0 MORETHANLUCKY 2.3% 43.95 12
11 0 ENJOYING 2.0% 50.87 11
12 0 RACING FIGHTER 1.9% 51.29 13
13 0 JOYFUL TRINITY 1.8% 55.66 9
14 0 AMAZING BEATS 1.5% 68.14 7
MORE THAN THIS — wonPLAYA DEL PUENTESTAR PERFORMANCENICCONI EXPRESSSUPER OASISPRECIOUSSHIPNOT USUAL TALENTGOLD CHESTENRICHMENTMORETHANLUCKYENJOYINGRACING FIGHTERJOYFUL TRINITYAMAZING BEATS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 28

PLACE

4 13.5

13 64

14 28.5

QUINELLA

4,14 142.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,13 129.5

4,14 55.5

13,14 285.5

TIERCE

4,14,13 3,947

TRIO

4,13,14 1,296

FIRST 4

4,7,13,14 771

QUARTET

4,14,13,7 14,337

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 19.5

A2 —

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,6/4,13,14 30,394

9TH DOUBLE

4/4 150

4/14 118.5

SIX UP

1,4/7,9/4,9/1,7/2,4/4,14 1,488

1/7/9/1/4/4 743,367

2 [J Moreira] —

TREBLE

1/4/4 611

1/4/14 519