沙田 · 2019-12-08
第 10場
2019-12-08沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、K W Lui訓練的MORE THAN THIS勝出，贏出HD。PRECIOUSSHIP獲得亞軍；ENRICHMENT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MORE THAN THIS 後段發力 1.33.90 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 10 | 2.8 | HD |
| 2 | 14 | PRECIOUSSHIP 後段發力 XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 13 | ENRICHMENT 後段發力 B G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 12 | 26.0 | N |
| 4 | 7 | NICCONI EXPRESS 後段發力 P C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER OASIS Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | NOT USUAL TALENT 後段發力 H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 13 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS 後段發力 A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 128.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE SR/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 11 | 6.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | JOYFUL TRINITY 後段發力 B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 14 | 126.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | STAR PERFORMANCE H/TT L Dettori · A S Cruz | L Dettori | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | ENJOYING B/XB A Sanna · J Moore | A Sanna | J Moore | 3 | 141.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 2 | MORETHANLUCKY B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 66.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT1 M Guyon · C H Yip | M Guyon | C H Yip | 5 | 122.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | GOLD CHEST 早段領放 TT C Lemaire · R Gibson | C Lemaire | R Gibson | 2 | 50.0 | 9 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | MORE THAN THIS | 23.4% | 4.26 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 22.6% | 4.42 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 9.9% | 10.05 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | NICCONI EXPRESS | 9.7% | 10.33 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | SUPER OASIS | 7.1% | 14.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 6.1% | 16.29 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 4.6% | 21.69 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLD CHEST | 4.0% | 25.31 | 14 |
| 9 | 13 | ENRICHMENT | 3.0% | 33.06 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | MORETHANLUCKY | 2.3% | 43.95 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | ENJOYING | 2.0% | 50.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.9% | 51.29 | 13 |
| 13 | 6 | JOYFUL TRINITY | 1.8% | 55.66 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | AMAZING BEATS | 1.5% | 68.14 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 28
PLACE
4 13.5
13 64
14 28.5
QUINELLA
4,14 142.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,13 129.5
4,14 55.5
13,14 285.5
TIERCE
4,14,13 3,947
TRIO
4,13,14 1,296
FIRST 4
4,7,13,14 771
QUARTET
4,14,13,7 14,337
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/4,13,14 30,394
9TH DOUBLE
4/4 150
4/14 118.5
SIX UP
1,4/7,9/4,9/1,7/2,4/4,14 1,488
1/7/9/1/4/4 743,367
2 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1/4/4 611
1/4/14 519