Sha Tin · 2019-12-08
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE Closed strongly 1.22.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 6.7 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.3 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | IRON KING M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 3 | 92.0 | HD |
| 4 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR Closed strongly CP/TT G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.4 | N |
| 5 | 0 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB O Murphy · D J Whyte | O Murphy | D J Whyte | 1 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 44.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART CHARADE Closed strongly B/H/TT C Lemaire · W Y So | C Lemaire | W Y So | 14 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B K H Chan · R Gibson | K H Chan | R Gibson | 9 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SHAMPORT TT S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 11 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 12 | 7.7 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 4 | 69.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS H/B1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 2 | 69.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | VICTORY MASTERY Led early B1 U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 7 | 158.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. TRIPLE TRIPLE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with FANTASTIC SHOW second and IRON KING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite EMERALD SPUR finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR | 21.8% | 4.58 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 18.2% | 5.51 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | ALL WONGCHOY | 13.3% | 7.53 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 11.5% | 8.68 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 8.5% | 11.79 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | GOD OF DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.11 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | SHAMPORT | 4.3% | 23.09 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 4.1% | 24.27 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 2.9% | 34.44 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | IRON KING | 2.6% | 38.84 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | VICTORY MASTERY | 2.4% | 40.93 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | FAIRY FLOSS | 2.4% | 41.45 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | SOLAR BILLION | 1.7% | 60.14 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | SMART CHARADE | 1.5% | 65.41 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 67
PLACE
7 22.5
10 200.5
13 17
QUINELLA
7,13 259
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 844.5
7,13 81.5
10,13 648.5
TIERCE
7,13,10 24,094
TRIO
7,10,13 6,265
FIRST 4
1,7,10,13 3,266
QUARTET
7,13,10,1 99,623
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22.5
A3 —