沙田 · 2019-12-15
第 3場
2019-12-15沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的WILL POWER勝出，贏出1-1/2。DOLLAR REWARD獲得亞軍；FOODIE PRINCESS獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門ZERO HEDGE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | WILL POWER XB1 1.09.38 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | DOLLAR REWARD P2/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | FOODIE PRINCESS H/TT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 5 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | SKY TREASURE H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 3.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | STRATHCLYDE B/TT C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | CALIFORNIA RAD TT U Rispoli · A S Cruz | U Rispoli | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.8 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPREME PATROL B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 7.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | HARBOUR ALERT CP-/B2 M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 51.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER S De Sousa · P O'Sullivan | S De Sousa | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 25.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | CIRCUIT FIVE PC1/TT1 C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 7 | 71.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ZERO HEDGE | 31.0% | 3.23 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | DOLLAR REWARD | 11.5% | 8.68 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 10.9% | 9.14 | 8 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPREME PATROL | 10.6% | 9.42 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | STRATHCLYDE | 8.7% | 11.52 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | WILL POWER | 7.0% | 14.32 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | GOLDIE FLANKER | 5.5% | 18.31 | 11 |
| 8 | 9 | CIRCUIT FIVE | 5.2% | 19.05 | 12 |
| 9 | 12 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 3.5% | 28.59 | 3 |
| 10 | 6 | SKY TREASURE | 2.9% | 34.20 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | HARBOUR ALERT | 1.8% | 55.02 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 1.3% | 74.68 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 40.5
PLACE
3 20
10 19.5
12 56.5
QUINELLA
3,10 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 64.5
3,12 187.5
10,12 157
TIERCE
10,3,12 4,380
TRIO
3,10,12 985
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 6,597
QUARTET
10,3,12,6 72,290
2ND DOUBLE
10/3 33
10/10 196.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 22
A1 —
A3 —