沙田 · 2019-12-15
第 6場
2019-12-15沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的TELECOM ROCKET勝出，贏出N。CHEERFUL LEADER獲得亞軍；JOY MASTER獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | TELECOM ROCKET 一路領先 B-/CP1 1.34.51 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 11 | 2.8 | N |
| 2 | 4 | CHEERFUL LEADER 後段發力 XB/B1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 8 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 10 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 7.9 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | HAPPY WIN WIN 後段發力 XB/TT U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 5 | 8.7 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | AMAZING SATCHMO 後段發力 B Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 3 | 5.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | WITNESS HUNTER 後段發力 SR-/B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 12 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | VICTORY VISION 後段發力 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 7 | 128.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | SPIRIT PATCH B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 243.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SHANGHAI RUSKY 後段發力 H H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 13 | 415.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 121.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | ONE STEP AHEAD L Hewitson · P O'Sullivan | L Hewitson | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 80.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | CENTRAL EXPRESS B/TT1 B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 1 | 20.0 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | JOYFUL FAMILY K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 14 | 335.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | SAVVY SEVEN B/TT S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 9 | 12.0 | 17-3/4 |
| — | 0 | EMERALD SPUR M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | TELECOM ROCKET | 15.5% | 6.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | WITNESS HUNTER | 15.0% | 6.68 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | JOY MASTER | 14.6% | 6.87 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | AMAZING SATCHMO | 14.5% | 6.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | SAVVY SEVEN | 10.6% | 9.48 | 14 |
| 6 | 3 | HAPPY WIN WIN | 8.0% | 12.47 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 7.8% | 12.85 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | CENTRAL EXPRESS | 6.6% | 15.09 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | JOYFUL FAMILY | 2.2% | 45.81 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 1.9% | 52.30 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 1.0% | 99.54 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | VICTORY VISION | 1.0% | 102.89 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | SPIRIT PATCH | 0.9% | 115.23 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | SHANGHAI RUSKY | 0.6% | 171.43 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 28
PLACE
4 18
10 23
13 13.5
QUINELLA
4,13 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,10 53.5
4,13 43
10,13 59
TIERCE
13,4,10 803
TRIO
4,10,13 214
FIRST 4
3,4,10,13 270
QUARTET
13,4,10,3 5,609
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 19
A2 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7,11/4 27.5
7,11/13 251
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,12/5,9>7,11/Any Combination 251,907