沙田 · 2020-01-01
第 6場
2020-01-01沙田第6場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、P F Yiu訓練的VOYAGE WARRIOR勝出，贏出3。CUE THE MUSIC獲得亞軍；HEART CONQUERED獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VOYAGE WARRIOR XB- 0.55.97 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 14 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | HEART CONQUERED XB1 H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 5 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MR LUMIERES K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | REFINED TREASURE XB/B1 G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 13 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | MULTIMILLION B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 8 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H2 N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 7 | 82.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LITTLE BIRD L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 3 | 149.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | STYLING CITY B S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 1 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DRAGON GENERAL B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 47.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | SPEED VISION B/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 10 | 182.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | YEE CHEONG BABY Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 4.2 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 35.4% | 2.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | YEE CHEONG BABY | 20.6% | 4.84 | 14 |
| 3 | 4 | STYLING CITY | 6.9% | 14.56 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | CUE THE MUSIC | 6.7% | 15.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR | 6.4% | 15.67 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | MULTIMILLION | 6.3% | 15.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | WATER DIVINER | 4.6% | 21.86 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | MR LUMIERES | 3.6% | 27.77 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | REFINED TREASURE | 3.4% | 29.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | HEART CONQUERED | 1.9% | 52.23 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON GENERAL | 1.5% | 68.55 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.1% | 91.28 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 1.0% | 105.09 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | SPEED VISION | 0.8% | 129.82 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 33
PLACE
6 16
11 48
14 56.5
QUINELLA
6,11 285
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 103.5
6,14 168.5
11,14 596.5
TIERCE
6,11,14 10,022
TRIO
6,11,14 3,366
FIRST 4
5,6,11,14 3,452
QUARTET
6,11,14,5 64,544
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
11/6 64
11/11 75.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,11/4,5,11/6,11,14 16,607,586
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,11/4,5,11/Any Combination 102,482