沙田 · 2020-01-01
第 8場
2020-01-01沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的LUCKY MORE勝出，贏出1。GOOD BEAUTY獲得亞軍；TEAM SPIRIT獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY MORE 1.09.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 2.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 1 | 9.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 2.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | TAILOR MADE H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 5 | 179.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | DIAMOND KING V/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 27.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING H- C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | EVER LAUGH B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 10 | 96.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B/SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 48.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HERCULES T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 2 | 105.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | LUCKY PUZZLE G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 9 | 54.0 | 12-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY MORE | 42.1% | 2.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT | 16.8% | 5.96 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | GOOD BEAUTY | 9.9% | 10.11 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 5.6% | 17.87 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 2.9% | 34.54 | 12 |
| 7 | 11 | DIAMOND KING | 1.7% | 58.38 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 1.5% | 66.43 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 1.3% | 78.95 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | EVER LAUGH | 0.7% | 138.78 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | HERCULES | 0.6% | 162.18 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | TAILOR MADE | 0.4% | 227.46 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 23.5
PLACE
3 24
5 19.5
8 12
QUINELLA
5,8 84
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 81
3,8 40
5,8 32.5
TIERCE
8,5,3 750
TRIO
3,5,8 211
FIRST 4
2,3,5,8 85
QUARTET
8,5,3,2 2,132
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 12
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
8/5 27
8/8 42