沙田 · 2020-01-01
第 9場
2020-01-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、F C Lor訓練的LOOKING GOOD勝出，贏出SH。ASSIMILATE獲得亞軍；BEAUTY LOYAL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門ASSIMILATE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | LOOKING GOOD 後段發力 B 1.21.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 14 | 41.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | ASSIMILATE 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 4 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | BEAUTY LOYAL 後段發力 B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.7 | HD |
| 4 | 2 | MY ALLY TT A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 11 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | HINCHINLOVE 早段領放 B2/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SEATTLE CHOICE 後段發力 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | FOLLOW ME 後段發力 TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | FARSHAD B/SR S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | REEL BIZZY 後段發力 B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 3 | 7.5 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND 後段發力 B/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SMILING CITY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 78.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | UNITE SPIRIT 後段發力 XB T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 5 | 73.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | DIVINE UNICORN TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 129.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | RAKKIKYATTO C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 42.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MY DARLING · T P Yung | — | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ASSIMILATE | 21.0% | 4.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | FOLLOW ME | 20.9% | 4.78 | 7 |
| 3 | 12 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | MY ALLY | 7.8% | 12.79 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | FARSHAD | 7.2% | 13.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | REEL BIZZY | 7.2% | 13.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 7.0% | 14.21 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | LOOKING GOOD | 4.4% | 22.94 | 1 |
| 9 | 8 | RAKKIKYATTO | 3.7% | 27.07 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.6% | 38.52 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | DIVINE UNICORN | 2.5% | 40.72 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | HINCHINLOVE | 2.4% | 41.18 | 5 |
| 13 | 5 | SMILING CITY | 1.7% | 58.36 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | UNITE SPIRIT | 1.4% | 74.04 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 413
PLACE
4 13.5
12 24
13 96
QUINELLA
4,13 710
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 46.5
4,13 201
12,13 309.5
TIERCE
13,4,12 12,518
TRIO
4,12,13 1,188
FIRST 4
2,4,12,13 4,273
QUARTET
13,4,12,2 139,466
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 29
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
8/4 16.5
8/13 846