Sha Tin · 2020-01-01
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD Closed strongly B 1.21.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 14 | 41.0 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | ASSIMILATE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 4 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.7 | HD |
| 4 | 0 | MY ALLY TT A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 11 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE Led early B2/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 40.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE Closed strongly K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FOLLOW ME Closed strongly TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 1 | 4.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FARSHAD B/SR S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 8 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 3 | 7.5 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 48.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING CITY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 78.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT Closed strongly XB T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 5 | 73.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 129.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | RAKKIKYATTO C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 42.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MY DARLING · T P Yung | — | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-01 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LOOKING GOOD, ridden by K H Chan and trained by F C Lor, won by SH, with ASSIMILATE second and BEAUTY LOYAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite ASSIMILATE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ASSIMILATE | 21.0% | 4.76 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FOLLOW ME | 20.9% | 4.78 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 10.2% | 9.76 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | MY ALLY | 7.8% | 12.79 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FARSHAD | 7.2% | 13.91 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 7.2% | 13.92 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | SEATTLE CHOICE | 7.0% | 14.21 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | LOOKING GOOD | 4.4% | 22.94 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | RAKKIKYATTO | 3.7% | 27.07 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 2.6% | 38.52 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | DIVINE UNICORN | 2.5% | 40.72 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 2.4% | 41.18 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 1.7% | 58.36 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 1.4% | 74.04 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 413
PLACE
4 13.5
12 24
13 96
QUINELLA
4,13 710
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 46.5
4,13 201
12,13 309.5
TIERCE
13,4,12 12,518
TRIO
4,12,13 1,188
FIRST 4
2,4,12,13 4,273
QUARTET
13,4,12,2 139,466
3 PICK 1
A3 29
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
8/4 16.5
8/13 846