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Sha Tin · 2020-01-01

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 8 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with FAT TURTLE second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.20.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.20.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 1.6 2
2 7 FAT TURTLE Closed strongly B A Badel · F C Lor 7 13.0 2
3 5 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P1/TT1 J Moreira · J Size 8 8.5 2-1/2
4 4 ENCOURAGING B/TT S De Sousa · J Moore 6 6.5 4
5 2 KA YING STAR Led early CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 7.5 4-1/4
6 6 GOOD STANDING B/XB G van Niekerk · J Moore 5 23.0 5-3/4
7 1 SEASONS BLOOM TT Z Purton · C S Shum 3 16.0 6-1/2
8 3 NORTHERN SUPERSTAR M F Poon · A T Millard 1 75.0 14

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. FAT TURTLE+2L3. CHAMPION'S WAY+2.5L4. ENCOURAGING+4L5. KA YING STAR+4.25L6. GOOD STANDING+5.75L7. SEASONS BLOOM+6.5L8. NORTHERN SUPERSTAR+14L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (33.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 GOLDEN SIXTY 33.6% 2.98 1
2 5 CHAMPION'S WAY 23.3% 4.28 3
3 7 FAT TURTLE 13.8% 7.27 2
4 2 KA YING STAR 8.5% 11.74 5
5 1 SEASONS BLOOM 6.9% 14.59 7
6 4 ENCOURAGING 6.5% 15.43 4
7 6 GOOD STANDING 5.3% 18.72 6
8 3 NORTHERN SUPERSTAR 2.1% 47.84 8
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonCHAMPION'S WAYFAT TURTLEKA YING STARSEASONS BLOOMENCOURAGINGGOOD STANDINGNORTHERN SUPERSTAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 16

PLACE

5 20.5

7 28.5

8 11

QUINELLA

7,8 84

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 117.5

5,8 31

7,8 34.5

TIERCE

8,7,5 459

TRIO

5,7,8 160

FIRST 4

4,5,7,8 152

QUARTET

8,7,5,4 1,608

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,11,14/5,7,8 38,096

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 13.5

A2 —

6TH DOUBLE

6/7 99

6/8 66.5

← Race 6 Race 8 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99