Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-01-01

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 8 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.70
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.20.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 1.6 2
2 0 FAT TURTLE Closed strongly B A Badel · F C Lor 7 13.0 2
3 0 CHAMPION'S WAY Closed strongly P1/TT1 J Moreira · J Size 8 8.5 2-1/2
4 0 ENCOURAGING B/TT S De Sousa · J Moore 6 6.5 4
5 0 KA YING STAR Led early CP-/B1/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 2 7.5 4-1/4
6 0 GOOD STANDING B/XB G van Niekerk · J Moore 5 23.0 5-3/4
7 0 SEASONS BLOOM TT Z Purton · C S Shum 3 16.0 6-1/2
8 0 NORTHERN SUPERSTAR M F Poon · A T Millard 1 75.0 14

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-01 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with FAT TURTLE second and CHAMPION'S WAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN SIXTY—2. FAT TURTLE+2L3. CHAMPION'S WAY+2.5L4. ENCOURAGING+4L5. KA YING STAR+4.25L6. GOOD STANDING+5.75L7. SEASONS BLOOM+6.5L8. NORTHERN SUPERSTAR+14L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GOLDEN SIXTY (33.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GOLDEN SIXTY 33.6% 2.98 1
2 0 CHAMPION'S WAY 23.3% 4.28 3
3 0 FAT TURTLE 13.8% 7.27 2
4 0 KA YING STAR 8.5% 11.74 5
5 0 SEASONS BLOOM 6.9% 14.59 7
6 0 ENCOURAGING 6.5% 15.43 4
7 0 GOOD STANDING 5.3% 18.72 6
8 0 NORTHERN SUPERSTAR 2.1% 47.84 8
GOLDEN SIXTY — wonCHAMPION'S WAYFAT TURTLEKA YING STARSEASONS BLOOMENCOURAGINGGOOD STANDINGNORTHERN SUPERSTAR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 16

PLACE

5 20.5

7 28.5

8 11

QUINELLA

7,8 84

QUINELLA PLACE

5,7 117.5

5,8 31

7,8 34.5

TIERCE

8,7,5 459

TRIO

5,7,8 160

FIRST 4

4,5,7,8 152

QUARTET

8,7,5,4 1,608

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,11,14/5,7,8 38,096

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 13.5

A3 —

6TH DOUBLE

6/7 99

6/8 66.5