Sha Tin · 2020-01-01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STARSHIP Closed strongly B 1.35.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 7 | 108.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY POWER Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SPIRIT PATCH B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 8 | 133.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE H J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 6 | 6.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 9.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 7.6 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SAVVY SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 14 | 33.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VICTORY VISION M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 138.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 18.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 4 | 84.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TOUCH OF FAITH B1/SR1 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 11 | 58.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-01 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. STARSHIP, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by 1/2, with LEAP OF FAITH second and PARTY EVERYDAY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite LEAP OF FAITH finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WOOD ON FIRE | 23.9% | 4.18 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER | 13.2% | 7.58 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 7.8% | 12.86 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 6.9% | 14.56 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNNY POWER | 6.3% | 15.91 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | STARSHIP | 5.3% | 18.96 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.40 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SAVVY SEVEN | 2.3% | 43.44 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 1.7% | 57.99 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | VICTORY VISION | 1.6% | 63.86 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | TOUCH OF FAITH | 1.5% | 67.47 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 1.4% | 71.80 | 3 |
| 14 | 0 | SPIRIT PATCH | 1.0% | 104.97 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 164.5
PLACE
2 41
3 15.5
11 235.5
QUINELLA
2,3 350.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 108
2,11 2,357.5
3,11 728.5
TIERCE
2,3,11 61,197
TRIO
2,3,11 9,699
FIRST 4
2,3,4,11 7,028
QUARTET
2,3,11,4 288,769
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,6/2,3,11 53,745
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 37.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
6/2 413
6/3 10.5