Sha Tin · 2020-01-01
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-01 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. SUPER WEALTHY, ridden by A Badel and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-1/4, with INVINCIBLE MISSILE second and LOCKHEED third. Victory came as the 2.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER WEALTHY 1.09.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 12 | 2.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | LOCKHEED B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 9 | 4.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | TOTAL POWER C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 2 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | FRESH POWER B/TT K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 30.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GREEN REIGN B1 C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 6 | 99.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MONKEY JEWELLERY G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 5 | 8.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | MIGHTY POWER M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING B- N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 10 | 50.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 50.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | EVEN KEEL H/TT1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 3 | 142.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | TEAM FORTUNE B/TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 7 | 74.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER WEALTHY | 36.3% | 2.75 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | LOCKHEED | 21.6% | 4.63 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 14.5% | 6.89 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 8.3% | 11.98 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 4.1% | 24.68 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | FRESH POWER | 3.6% | 27.72 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 3.6% | 27.92 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | GREEN REIGN | 2.2% | 44.51 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | MIGHTY POWER | 1.9% | 51.49 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | TOTAL POWER | 1.9% | 53.02 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | TEAM FORTUNE | 1.4% | 71.65 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | EVEN KEEL | 0.5% | 201.88 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 21
PLACE
1 16.5
2 14
6 12
QUINELLA
1,6 62
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 36
1,6 28
2,6 21.5
TIERCE
6,1,2 277
TRIO
1,2,6 63
FIRST 4
1,2,5,6 241
QUARTET
6,1,2,5 2,898
2ND DOUBLE
10/1 1,665
10/6 2,644
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A2 —
A3 —