Sha Tin · 2020-01-01
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-01 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. VOYAGE WARRIOR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3, with CUE THE MUSIC second and HEART CONQUERED third. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VOYAGE WARRIOR XB- 0.55.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 14 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | CUE THE MUSIC SR/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 21.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | HEART CONQUERED XB1 H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 5 | 20.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MR LUMIERES K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | REFINED TREASURE XB/B1 G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 13 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | MULTIMILLION B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 8 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H2 N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 7 | 82.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | LITTLE BIRD L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 3 | 149.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | STYLING CITY B S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 1 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | DRAGON GENERAL B/TT M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 9 | 47.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | SPEED VISION B/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 10 | 182.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | YEE CHEONG BABY Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 11 | 4.2 | 14-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 35.4% | 2.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | YEE CHEONG BABY | 20.6% | 4.84 | 14 |
| 3 | 4 | STYLING CITY | 6.9% | 14.56 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | CUE THE MUSIC | 6.7% | 15.03 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | COUNTRY STAR | 6.4% | 15.67 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | MULTIMILLION | 6.3% | 15.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | WATER DIVINER | 4.6% | 21.86 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | MR LUMIERES | 3.6% | 27.77 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | REFINED TREASURE | 3.4% | 29.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | HEART CONQUERED | 1.9% | 52.23 | 3 |
| 11 | 9 | DRAGON GENERAL | 1.5% | 68.55 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | LITTLE BIRD | 1.1% | 91.28 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 1.0% | 105.09 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | SPEED VISION | 0.8% | 129.82 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 33
PLACE
6 16
11 48
14 56.5
QUINELLA
6,11 285
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 103.5
6,14 168.5
11,14 596.5
TIERCE
6,11,14 10,022
TRIO
6,11,14 3,366
FIRST 4
5,6,11,14 3,452
QUARTET
6,11,14,5 64,544
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18.5
A3 —
All pools (3 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/6 64
11/11 75.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,11/4,5,11/6,11,14 16,607,586
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,11/4,5,11/Any Combination 102,482