Sha Tin · 2020-01-01
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-01 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. MCMUNIGAL, ridden by H N Wong and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-1/4, with VICTORIOUS SEEKER second and AMAZING AGILITY third. The winner led throughout. The 3.6 favourite AMAZING AGILITY finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MCMUNIGAL Wire to wire B2/TT 1.48.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 10 | 147.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 5 | 3.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | WICKER Closed strongly B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 4 | 4.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC Closed strongly B/XB/TT J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 1 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | GOLDEN KID Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | BREAK RECORD B/TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 2 | 15.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | REGENCY GEM PC/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 3 | 15.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | CHAPARRAL STAR TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 8 | 6.4 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | DIVINE POWER B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 6 | 16.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA B1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 213.0 | 22-1/4 |
| — | 5 | HAY RUN N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 32.6% | 3.07 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | WICKER | 11.5% | 8.67 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | REGENCY GEM | 10.8% | 9.23 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | CHAPARRAL STAR | 10.6% | 9.46 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | BREAK RECORD | 9.2% | 10.84 | 7 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING AGILITY | 7.4% | 13.46 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | GOLDEN KID | 6.9% | 14.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 6.0% | 16.61 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | DIVINE POWER | 3.2% | 30.83 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | MCMUNIGAL | 1.0% | 99.44 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | STRAPPING BAUHINIA | 0.7% | 153.59 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 1,471
PLACE
1 15
8 27
10 265
QUINELLA
8,10 5,204
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 70
1,10 795.5
8,10 1,265.5
TIERCE
10,8,1 42,104
TRIO
1,8,10 3,936
FIRST 4
1,8,10,12 5,021
QUARTET
10,8,1,12 224,633
1ST DOUBLE
6/8 132
6/10 7,620
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 28