跑馬地 · 2020-01-15
第 1場
2020-01-15跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、K L Man訓練的ROMAN ODYSSEY勝出，贏出N。FLYING MONKEY獲得亞軍；ROYAL CHOCOLATE獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門GREAT SON跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ROMAN ODYSSEY TT 0.57.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 4.5 | N |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING MONKEY TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 8 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE SR-/B1/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 2 | 7.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | DEMONS ROCK B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GREAT SON B/TT N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B/XB/TT K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 6 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | NICE FANDANGO B-/H/XB B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 11 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | KEEP GOING H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 27.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | GOLDEN GENERAL CP1 H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 10 | 74.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MULTIMAX B/TT- H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 1 | 7.3 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | NASHASHUK P/TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | PROMISE KEPT XB/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 3 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ROYAL CHOCOLATE | 37.1% | 2.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | NASHASHUK | 10.9% | 9.18 | 11 |
| 3 | 7 | GREAT SON | 9.4% | 10.67 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | ROMAN ODYSSEY | 7.5% | 13.40 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | KEEP GOING | 7.1% | 14.12 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 5.3% | 18.70 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | FLYING MONKEY | 4.7% | 21.18 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | DEMONS ROCK | 4.5% | 22.37 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | NICE FANDANGO | 4.2% | 24.05 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | PROMISE KEPT | 4.0% | 24.98 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 3.2% | 31.10 | 9 |
| 12 | 3 | MULTIMAX | 2.2% | 45.60 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 45
PLACE
6 49.5
8 15
9 23.5
QUINELLA
6,8 443.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 146
6,9 168.5
8,9 51.5
TIERCE
8,6,9 3,545
TRIO
6,8,9 718
FIRST 4
5,6,8,9 1,246
QUARTET
8,6,9,5 28,599
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 28
A2 —