跑馬地 · 2020-01-15
第 8場
2020-01-15跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的HONG KONG WIN勝出，贏出2-3/4。G UNIT獲得亞軍；HARMONY AND RICH獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門FLYING GENIUS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | HONG KONG WIN B 0.56.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 3.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | G UNIT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 1 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | HARMONY AND RICH H T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 8 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | HEART CONQUERED XB S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | THE RUNNER B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 110.0 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | MASSIVE POCKET XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 16.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | BEAUT BEAUT H/V A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 12 | 81.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | JUMBO HAPPINESS N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 7 | 47.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | UNIQUE TREASURE XB-/H M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 95.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | THE WEATHERMAN P- K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 10 | 222.0 | 16 |
| — | 7 | ALLIED AGILITY M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | G UNIT | 27.3% | 3.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | HONG KONG WIN | 22.1% | 4.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS | 15.1% | 6.60 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | HEART CONQUERED | 11.2% | 8.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | HARMONY AND RICH | 6.5% | 15.32 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | MASSIVE POCKET | 5.8% | 17.30 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 4.3% | 23.32 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | THE RUNNER | 2.1% | 47.13 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | BEAUT BEAUT | 2.0% | 49.22 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 1.8% | 54.89 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | THE WEATHERMAN | 1.6% | 63.40 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 30.5
PLACE
3 24
8 13
11 17
QUINELLA
8,11 107
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 69.5
3,11 86
8,11 34
TIERCE
8,11,3 1,129
TRIO
3,8,11 248
FIRST 4
3,6,8,11 73
QUARTET
8,11,3,6 2,118
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
7/8 197
7/11 82