跑馬地 · 2020-01-15
第 6場
2020-01-15跑馬地第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、K W Lui訓練的VICTORY IN HAND勝出，贏出1-1/4。MEHBOOB獲得亞軍；LORIZ獲得季軍。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | VICTORY IN HAND TT 1.09.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | MEHBOOB XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | LORIZ B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CASA DE FORCA CP T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | WILD WEST WING J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK B S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | WONDER WIN H/P T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 3 | 227.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER LUCKY H/XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FANTASTIC FABIO B2 H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 2 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | GRAND HARBOUR H/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 7 | 74.0 | 4-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MEHBOOB | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | VICTORY IN HAND | 14.5% | 6.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | LORIZ | 14.2% | 7.07 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WILD WEST WING | 14.0% | 7.15 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | CASA DE FORCA | 13.4% | 7.48 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS | 9.2% | 10.86 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK | 6.4% | 15.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER LUCKY | 4.1% | 24.20 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 2.8% | 36.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | GRAND HARBOUR | 2.0% | 50.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 1.4% | 72.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | WONDER WIN | 0.8% | 130.50 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 27.5
PLACE
1 26
4 14.5
5 17.5
QUINELLA
4,5 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 47.5
1,5 95
4,5 32
TIERCE
4,5,1 955
TRIO
1,4,5 235
FIRST 4
1,4,5,11 1,349
QUARTET
4,5,1,11 15,323
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 198.5
5/5 36