Happy Valley · 2020-01-15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VICTORY IN HAND, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/4, with MEHBOOB second and LORIZ third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | VICTORY IN HAND TT 1.09.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | MEHBOOB XB M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 5.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | LORIZ B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 8 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 12 | 40.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | CASA DE FORCA CP T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 10 | 7.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | WILD WEST WING J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 11 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK B S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 6 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | WONDER WIN H/P T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 3 | 227.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPER LUCKY H/XB A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FANTASTIC FABIO B2 H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 2 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | GRAND HARBOUR H/TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 7 | 74.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MEHBOOB | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | VICTORY IN HAND | 14.5% | 6.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | LORIZ | 14.2% | 7.07 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WILD WEST WING | 14.0% | 7.15 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | CASA DE FORCA | 13.4% | 7.48 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | THE ABRAXAS | 9.2% | 10.86 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | TRAVEL DATUK | 6.4% | 15.51 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER LUCKY | 4.1% | 24.20 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 2.8% | 36.18 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | GRAND HARBOUR | 2.0% | 50.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 1.4% | 72.66 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | WONDER WIN | 0.8% | 130.50 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 27.5
PLACE
1 26
4 14.5
5 17.5
QUINELLA
4,5 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 47.5
1,5 95
4,5 32
TIERCE
4,5,1 955
TRIO
1,4,5 235
FIRST 4
1,4,5,11 1,349
QUARTET
4,5,1,11 15,323
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
5/4 198.5
5/5 36