Happy Valley · 2020-01-15
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SOLAR WAI WAI, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by F C Lor, won by N, with SAVVY NINE second and BEAR AGAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite BEAR AGAIN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI Closed strongly 1.38.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 6 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 1 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 7 | 43.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | BEAR AGAIN Led early SR A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 1 | 1.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | RULE THEE Closed strongly K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 54.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MAGNIFICENT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 2 | 4.9 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE H-/B S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 9 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/SR J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 5 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | BEAUTY ICON B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 11 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | COMFORT LIFE Closed strongly XB/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 10 | 67.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | ANONYMA TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 156.0 | 7 |
| — | 3 | WARM THE VOICE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAR AGAIN | 31.2% | 3.20 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | MAGNIFICENT | 20.7% | 4.83 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | SOLAR WAI WAI | 13.3% | 7.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 12.1% | 8.28 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | COMFORT LIFE | 6.2% | 16.14 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 4.8% | 20.73 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | BEAUTY ICON | 4.7% | 21.44 | 9 |
| 8 | 11 | RULE THEE | 3.5% | 28.24 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 1.6% | 62.52 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SAVVY NINE | 1.4% | 73.22 | 2 |
| 11 | 4 | ANONYMA | 0.5% | 189.32 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 48
PLACE
1 72
5 12
7 15.5
QUINELLA
1,7 965
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 122
1,7 269
5,7 24.5
TIERCE
7,1,5 5,513
TRIO
1,5,7 530
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 1,330
QUARTET
7,1,5,11 56,527
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,5,7 10,168
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 31
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 195
4/7 218.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,7,10/1,4,5/1,5,7 182,521
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,7,10/1,4,5/Any Combination 478