Happy Valley · 2020-01-15
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIGOR FAME Wire to wire XB-/H2/TT 1.39.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 2 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG Closed strongly TT G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 9 | 14.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | SURREALISM Closed strongly H K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 2.7 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | GAYSON Closed strongly B/XB B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 8 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TOP SCORE B/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PLANET STAR B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT Closed strongly TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 11 | 116.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERBELLA A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 36.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PICKEN J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 4.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | EPIC CP1/TT- N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 7 | 24.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2020-01-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIGOR FAME, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by K H Ting, won by N, with BIG BANG BONG second and SURREALISM third. The winner led throughout. The 2.7 favourite SURREALISM finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SURREALISM | 23.2% | 4.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | VIGOR FAME | 17.2% | 5.81 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PICKEN | 15.0% | 6.66 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 10.6% | 9.44 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | NAMJONG PLUS | 9.5% | 10.51 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | PLANET STAR | 8.1% | 12.40 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 6.6% | 15.06 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | EPIC | 3.1% | 32.04 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | BIG BANG BONG | 2.7% | 36.68 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | GAYSON | 2.5% | 40.39 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | CHUNG WAH SPIRIT | 1.5% | 67.15 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 48.5
PLACE
5 19
7 12.5
10 25
QUINELLA
5,10 268.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 29.5
5,10 87.5
7,10 59
TIERCE
5,10,7 1,392
TRIO
5,7,10 224
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 269
QUARTET
5,10,7,2 8,544
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,11/5,7,10 10,330
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27.5
4TH DOUBLE
5/5 372
5/10 154