跑馬地 · 2020-01-15
第 9場
2020-01-15跑馬地第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、K W Lui訓練的HIGHLY PROACTIVE勝出，贏出1/2。SHINING ACE獲得亞軍；SNAP FIT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/TT 1.09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 1.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SHINING ACE B B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | SNAP FIT B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 12 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H/P K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 1 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | STARLIGHT B1 K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 7 | 17.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | TAILOR MADE C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 6 | 87.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BREEDERS' STAR H A Badel · D E Ferraris | A Badel | D E Ferraris | 2 | 21.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | TEAM FORTUNE B/TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 4 | 204.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SMILING CITY SR/CP1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 262.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | MARVEL DRAGON TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 9 | 70.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 8 | 26.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | COPARTNER SPIRIT H/XB H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 10 | 362.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SNAP FIT | 43.9% | 2.28 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 26.1% | 3.83 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SHINING ACE | 11.8% | 8.45 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | STARLIGHT | 4.9% | 20.42 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | BREEDERS' STAR | 3.3% | 29.93 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 3.2% | 30.77 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | MARVEL DRAGON | 1.7% | 60.44 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | MAGIC SUPREME | 1.5% | 65.23 | 11 |
| 9 | 7 | SMILING CITY | 1.1% | 90.76 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | TAILOR MADE | 0.9% | 106.67 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | TEAM FORTUNE | 0.9% | 117.05 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 0.6% | 176.95 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 19
PLACE
1 14.5
2 11.5
3 13.5
QUINELLA
1,2 41
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 19
1,3 32
2,3 20
TIERCE
2,1,3 134
TRIO
1,2,3 39
FIRST 4
1,2,3,10 107
QUARTET
2,1,3,10 1,110
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13.5
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,11/1,2,3 1,760
8TH DOUBLE
8/1 30.5
8/2 63
SIX UP
2,5/5,10/4,5/1,7/8,11/1,2 3,822
5/5/4/7/8/2 55,876
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
7/8/1 149
7/8/2 408