跑馬地 · 2020-01-15
第 2場
2020-01-15跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、K H Ting訓練的FLYING GODSPELL勝出，贏出1-1/4。THE SHOW獲得亞軍；AMAZING獲得季軍。頭馬以3.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | FLYING GODSPELL SR 1.09.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 1 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | THE SHOW B G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 5 | 7.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | AMAZING TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE CP N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE B T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | PERFECT TO PLAY H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 9.3 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | AFTER ME TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | MY FAMILY H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 91.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | NICE KICK PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 6.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | MR WISEGUY B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 93.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | KING PRINT B H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 6 | 67.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | JOY AVENUE K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 34.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AFTER ME | 20.2% | 4.95 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | NICE KICK | 19.5% | 5.12 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | FLYING GODSPELL | 13.9% | 7.18 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 9.8% | 10.23 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | AMAZING | 8.0% | 12.58 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | EXCEPTIONAL DESIRE | 7.8% | 12.77 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | THE SHOW | 6.0% | 16.70 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | MY FAMILY | 5.3% | 18.97 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | JOLLY CONVERGENCE | 5.1% | 19.46 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | JOY AVENUE | 1.8% | 54.08 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | KING PRINT | 1.5% | 68.49 | 11 |
| 12 | 1 | MR WISEGUY | 1.1% | 92.49 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 37
PLACE
6 49
11 19
12 16.5
QUINELLA
11,12 141.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 156
6,12 118
11,12 51.5
TIERCE
12,11,6 2,823
TRIO
6,11,12 703
FIRST 4
2,6,11,12 1,400
QUARTET
12,11,6,2 24,742
1ST DOUBLE
8/11 48
8/12 214
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 18