沙田 · 2020-01-19
第 6場
2020-01-19沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H T Mo策騎、K W Lui訓練的VALIANT DREAM勝出，贏出NOSE。LOCKHEED獲得亞軍；FLYING BONUS獲得季軍。3.0倍大熱門LOCKHEED跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VALIANT DREAM 1.09.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 4 | 23.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 4 | LOCKHEED B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 3.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 14 | FLYING BONUS C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 14 | 56.0 | SH |
| 4 | 2 | SHINING GEM CP S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.9 | HD |
| 5 | 3 | COOL TEAM B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 8.3 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 5 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP-/B1/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 8 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 12 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER FAST Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 13 | 32.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | SEVENTH SEA SR L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 9 | 303.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO B/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE B/SR K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 24.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | FENRIR H/SR/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 3 | 36.0 | 4 |
| 14 | 11 | PING HAI GALAXY N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 10 | 144.0 | 4-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LOCKHEED | 23.1% | 4.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SHINING GEM | 20.0% | 5.01 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | CALIFORNIA GUNGHO | 9.7% | 10.30 | 11 |
| 4 | 12 | VALIANT DREAM | 8.8% | 11.32 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | GOOD BEAUTY | 6.6% | 15.23 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPER FAST | 5.9% | 16.95 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 5.8% | 17.20 | 12 |
| 8 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 4.9% | 20.49 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | TEAM SPIRIT | 4.0% | 24.94 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | FLYING BONUS | 3.2% | 31.37 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | COOL TEAM | 3.0% | 33.24 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | PING HAI GALAXY | 2.4% | 41.71 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | FENRIR | 2.2% | 44.79 | 13 |
| 14 | 1 | SEVENTH SEA | 0.4% | 266.12 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 230.5
PLACE
4 15
12 52.5
14 137.5
QUINELLA
4,12 318
QUINELLA PLACE
4,12 109.5
4,14 274.5
12,14 1,307.5
TIERCE
12,4,14 35,161
TRIO
4,12,14 5,016
FIRST 4
2,4,12,14 4,865
QUARTET
12,4,14,2 163,044
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 28
A2 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/4 10.5
3/12 480
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,12/1,3,7/4,12,14 416,479
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,12/1,3,7/Any Combination 67