沙田 · 2020-01-19
第 3場
2020-01-19沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由N Callan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的SONIC FIGHTER勝出，贏出HD。TELECOM ROCKET獲得亞軍；CHEERFUL LEADER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.0倍大熱門CHEERFUL LEADER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SONIC FIGHTER 後段發力 B 1.34.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET 後段發力 CP G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.2 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 5 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | WITNESS HUNTER B- K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | GALA NIGHT CP2 K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 3 | 67.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LEAP OF FAITH Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 5.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY 後段發力 B-/H1/CP2/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | INVALUABLE 後段發力 B C Y Ho · R Gibson | C Y Ho | R Gibson | 13 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CHIU CHOW KID 後段發力 TT H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 62.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | SMILING SUCCESS 早段領放 B/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 9 | 306.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 8 | 185.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | MILLENNIUM DAWN V/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 344.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | HURRICANE HUNTER T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 14 | 311.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TELECOM ROCKET | 24.5% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | LEAP OF FAITH | 22.2% | 4.51 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 17.2% | 5.81 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | JOY MASTER | 6.8% | 14.72 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | INVALUABLE | 6.1% | 16.29 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | SONIC FIGHTER | 5.1% | 19.47 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | WITNESS HUNTER | 4.7% | 21.38 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 4.2% | 23.73 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | GALA NIGHT | 3.4% | 29.21 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 1.9% | 51.39 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | CHIU CHOW KID | 1.4% | 71.95 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | SMILING SUCCESS | 1.0% | 100.66 | 11 |
| 13 | 13 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 0.7% | 139.94 | 14 |
| 14 | 4 | MILLENNIUM DAWN | 0.7% | 148.84 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 121.5
PLACE
2 28
3 11
6 15.5
QUINELLA
2,6 238
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 51
2,6 63.5
3,6 22
TIERCE
2,6,3 1,687
TRIO
2,3,6 132
FIRST 4
2,3,6,9 551
QUARTET
2,6,3,9 17,716
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 1,397.5
6/6 88
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 25.5
A1 —