沙田 · 2020-01-19
第 2場
2020-01-19沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H N Wong策騎、K W Lui訓練的UNDEFEATED勝出，贏出SH。POWER KING獲得亞軍；SPARKLING STAR獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門POWER KING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | UNDEFEATED B1 1.09.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 7.3 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | POWER KING H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.2 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SPARKLING STAR H Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | MOON PEAKS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 7.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | INCANTO PREPARED B-/E1/TT G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 9 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | EPTIWINS CP-/XB- T Piccone · L Ho | T Piccone | L Ho | 4 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SPONTANEOUS B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | MIGHTY VALOR B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ONE HAPPY STAR T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 122.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MELBOURNE HALL XB1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | LITTLE THUNDER B1 M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | VICTORY FOR ALL K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 64.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | STRONG PROMISE TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 14 | 235.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 14 | FLYING EMPEROR H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 347.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | POWER KING | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SPARKLING STAR | 19.5% | 5.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | LITTLE THUNDER | 10.6% | 9.41 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | EPTIWINS | 9.7% | 10.35 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | MOON PEAKS | 8.1% | 12.28 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | UNDEFEATED | 6.5% | 15.30 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | SPONTANEOUS | 6.2% | 16.14 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.5% | 22.07 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | MIGHTY VALOR | 3.6% | 27.65 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | INCANTO PREPARED | 3.4% | 29.44 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 1.7% | 57.43 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | STRONG PROMISE | 1.3% | 79.52 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | VICTORY FOR ALL | 1.2% | 82.25 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | FLYING EMPEROR | 1.0% | 102.52 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 73.5
PLACE
3 15
4 20
6 23
QUINELLA
3,6 123
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 35
3,6 52
4,6 85.5
TIERCE
6,3,4 1,761
TRIO
3,4,6 237
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 265
QUARTET
6,3,4,8 8,611
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 85
1/6 1,653.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —