沙田 · 2020-01-19
第 9場
2020-01-19沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、P O'Sullivan訓練的DUKE WAI勝出，贏出SH。BEAUTY APPLAUSE獲得亞軍；COMPUTER PATCH獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門BEAUTY APPLAUSE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | DUKE WAI B 1.08.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 6.2 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | COMPUTER PATCH XB S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 1 | 3.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | STRONGER CP G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 6 | 5.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | GOLD CHEST CP2/TT K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 7 | 41.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | RAGING STORM PC B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | LOVING A BOOM XB-/B/TT Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 12 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | TELECOM PUMA TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 10 | 329.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA WHIP B/H/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 11 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 3 | 259.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | GUNNISON M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 14 | 158.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | KING OF HEARTS B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 8 | 75.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | LITTLE BIRD L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 186.0 | 6-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 35.8% | 2.79 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | COMPUTER PATCH | 24.0% | 4.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | DUKE WAI | 20.3% | 4.94 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | LOVING A BOOM | 3.6% | 27.72 | 7 |
| 5 | 4 | WATER DIVINER | 3.0% | 33.33 | 8 |
| 6 | 1 | CALIFORNIA WHIP | 2.6% | 37.90 | 10 |
| 7 | 13 | STRONGER | 2.6% | 38.71 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | RAGING STORM | 2.3% | 43.00 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | KING OF HEARTS | 2.1% | 47.85 | 13 |
| 10 | 2 | GUNNISON | 1.2% | 86.39 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | GOLD CHEST | 0.8% | 131.11 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 0.6% | 162.79 | 11 |
| 13 | 9 | LITTLE BIRD | 0.6% | 175.98 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | TELECOM PUMA | 0.5% | 182.05 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 62
PLACE
8 13.5
10 15
11 20
QUINELLA
8,11 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 23.5
8,11 37
10,11 40
TIERCE
11,8,10 550
TRIO
8,10,11 61
FIRST 4
8,10,11,13 121
QUARTET
11,8,10,13 3,366
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A1 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
3/8 42.5
3/11 444.5