Sha Tin · 2020-01-19
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-19 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. UNDEFEATED, ridden by H N Wong and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with POWER KING second and SPARKLING STAR third. The 3.2 favourite POWER KING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | UNDEFEATED B1 1.09.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 2 | 7.3 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | POWER KING H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.2 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | SPARKLING STAR H Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 10 | 4.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | MOON PEAKS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 5 | 7.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | INCANTO PREPARED B-/E1/TT G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 9 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | EPTIWINS CP-/XB- T Piccone · L Ho | T Piccone | L Ho | 4 | 9.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | SPONTANEOUS B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | MIGHTY VALOR B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 7 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ONE HAPPY STAR T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 3 | 122.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MELBOURNE HALL XB1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 8 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 13 | LITTLE THUNDER B1 M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 12 | 16.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | VICTORY FOR ALL K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 64.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | STRONG PROMISE TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 14 | 235.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 14 | FLYING EMPEROR H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 347.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | POWER KING | 22.6% | 4.43 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SPARKLING STAR | 19.5% | 5.12 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | LITTLE THUNDER | 10.6% | 9.41 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | EPTIWINS | 9.7% | 10.35 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | MOON PEAKS | 8.1% | 12.28 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | UNDEFEATED | 6.5% | 15.30 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | SPONTANEOUS | 6.2% | 16.14 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | MELBOURNE HALL | 4.5% | 22.07 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | MIGHTY VALOR | 3.6% | 27.65 | 8 |
| 10 | 7 | INCANTO PREPARED | 3.4% | 29.44 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 1.7% | 57.43 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | STRONG PROMISE | 1.3% | 79.52 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | VICTORY FOR ALL | 1.2% | 82.25 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | FLYING EMPEROR | 1.0% | 102.52 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 73.5
PLACE
3 15
4 20
6 23
QUINELLA
3,6 123
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 35
3,6 52
4,6 85.5
TIERCE
6,3,4 1,761
TRIO
3,4,6 237
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 265
QUARTET
6,3,4,8 8,611
1ST DOUBLE
1/3 85
1/6 1,653.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —