Sha Tin · 2020-01-19
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-19 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAT THE CLOCK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by HD, with THANKS FOREVER second and HOT KING PRAWN third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAT THE CLOCK TT 1.08.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 2.5 | HD |
| 2 | 7 | THANKS FOREVER CP G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 7 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | HOT KING PRAWN K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 2 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | WISHFUL THINKER B C Soumillon · R Gibson | C Soumillon | R Gibson | 1 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | MR STUNNING H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | FULL OF BEAUTY Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 8.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | D B PIN B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 5 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| — | 8 | PREMIERE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAT THE CLOCK | 26.2% | 3.82 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | HOT KING PRAWN | 23.3% | 4.29 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | FULL OF BEAUTY | 18.2% | 5.48 | 6 |
| 4 | 5 | WISHFUL THINKER | 13.0% | 7.70 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | THANKS FOREVER | 8.3% | 11.99 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | MR STUNNING | 8.2% | 12.23 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | D B PIN | 2.8% | 35.68 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 25.5
PLACE
1 10.5
2 13
7 39
QUINELLA
1,7 220.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 14.5
1,7 67.5
2,7 58.5
TIERCE
1,7,2 987
TRIO
1,2,7 124
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 262
QUARTET
1,7,2,5 6,463
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,12,14/1,2,7 82,092
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
12/1 773.5
12/7 708.5