Sha Tin · 2020-01-19
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MAGNETISM Closed strongly B/TT 2.02.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 7 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | LONDON HALL Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 9 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ABOVE B S De Sousa · J Moore | S De Sousa | J Moore | 3 | 3.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Led early B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 4 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B T Piccone · P F Yiu | T Piccone | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR B-/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 6 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EXALTATION B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 41.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TANGMERE V/XB N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 1 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-19 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. MAGNETISM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D E Ferraris, won by 3/4, with GOOD DAYS second and LONDON HALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite LONDON HALL finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON HALL | 27.6% | 3.62 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | ABOVE | 22.3% | 4.48 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 13.5% | 7.42 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 10.4% | 9.57 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | MAGNETISM | 8.0% | 12.49 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | BULLISH GLORY | 5.3% | 18.78 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | TANGMERE | 4.5% | 22.44 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | PRESIDENT STAR | 3.7% | 27.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD DAYS | 3.0% | 33.05 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | EXALTATION | 1.7% | 60.46 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 119.5
PLACE
1 28
4 15
9 40.5
QUINELLA
1,9 846
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 57.5
1,9 219
4,9 77.5
TIERCE
1,9,4 5,151
TRIO
1,4,9 591
FIRST 4
1,4,6,9 347
QUARTET
1,9,4,6 13,090
3 PICK 1
A2 33.5
A3 —
A1 —