Sha Tin · 2020-01-19
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER Closed strongly B 1.34.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 12.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET Closed strongly CP G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 2 | 4.2 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER B/XB J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 5 | 2.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER B- K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 11 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | GALA NIGHT CP2 K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 3 | 67.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 5.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY Closed strongly B-/H1/CP2/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 10 | 13.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 6 | 31.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | INVALUABLE Closed strongly B C Y Ho · R Gibson | C Y Ho | R Gibson | 13 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID Closed strongly TT H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 62.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS Led early B/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 9 | 306.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 8 | 185.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | MILLENNIUM DAWN V/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 344.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | HURRICANE HUNTER T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 14 | 311.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-19 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SONIC FIGHTER, ridden by N Callan and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by HD, with TELECOM ROCKET second and CHEERFUL LEADER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite CHEERFUL LEADER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 24.5% | 4.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LEAP OF FAITH | 22.2% | 4.51 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 17.2% | 5.81 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 6.8% | 14.72 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | INVALUABLE | 6.1% | 16.29 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SONIC FIGHTER | 5.1% | 19.47 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER | 4.7% | 21.38 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 4.2% | 23.73 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 3.4% | 29.21 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 1.9% | 51.39 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID | 1.4% | 71.95 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING SUCCESS | 1.0% | 100.66 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 0.7% | 139.94 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | MILLENNIUM DAWN | 0.7% | 148.84 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 121.5
PLACE
2 28
3 11
6 15.5
QUINELLA
2,6 238
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 51
2,6 63.5
3,6 22
TIERCE
2,6,3 1,687
TRIO
2,3,6 132
FIRST 4
2,3,6,9 551
QUARTET
2,6,3,9 17,716
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 1,397.5
6/6 88
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 25.5