Sha Tin · 2020-01-19
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MY ALLY Wire to wire TT 1.21.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 4 | 6.7 | N |
| 2 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B2 Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 5.9 | N |
| 3 | 0 | THE ROCK Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FOLLOW ME Closed strongly TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 13 | 6.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | REEL BIZZY Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly TT T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 6 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE Closed strongly B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 12 | 8.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | LADY FIRST TT G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 14 | 30.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TOTAL POWER B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 7 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SOLOMON'S BAY XB/CP2 N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 3 | 72.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | AMAZING KIWI K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.8 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER Closed strongly CP1 K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 11 | 182.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | THE DRIVE TT H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 10 | 252.0 | 8-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-19 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MY ALLY, ridden by K H Chan and trained by J Moore, won by N, with MONGOLIAN KING second and THE ROCK third. The winner led throughout. The 4.8 favourite AMAZING KIWI finished 12th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 16.1% | 6.22 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GIFT OF LIFELINE | 14.5% | 6.89 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING | 11.7% | 8.53 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 11.1% | 9.04 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING KIWI | 8.9% | 11.26 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | FOLLOW ME | 8.1% | 12.38 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | MY ALLY | 7.5% | 13.36 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | THE ROCK | 6.7% | 15.00 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | LADY FIRST | 4.7% | 21.18 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | REEL BIZZY | 4.2% | 23.63 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 2.4% | 42.13 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | SOLOMON'S BAY | 2.0% | 50.44 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER | 1.5% | 68.43 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 0.8% | 133.16 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 67.5
PLACE
2 23
3 24.5
7 51
QUINELLA
2,3 254.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 93.5
2,7 187
3,7 233
TIERCE
3,2,7 7,823
TRIO
2,3,7 1,501
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 3,555
QUARTET
3,2,7,1 81,830
3 PICK 1
A3 17
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 27.5
1/3 296.5