Sha Tin · 2020-01-19
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.00 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 6 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 14 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | VITAL SPRING Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 12.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 10 | 30.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DESTIN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MOMENTUM HAPPY Closed strongly CP T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 9 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING Closed strongly H/CP1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 13 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB/TT- K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 11 | 59.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 4.3 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND H1 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 1 | 127.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly SR L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 12 | 86.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 286.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | WAR LORD B1 G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 36-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-19 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT THREE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with MIGHTY GIANT second and FANTASTIC SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite FANTASTIC SHOW finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 18.5% | 5.40 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 13.6% | 7.37 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 9.7% | 10.34 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 8.9% | 11.28 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | WAR LORD | 8.4% | 11.94 | 14 |
| 6 | 0 | VITAL SPRING | 8.0% | 12.49 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | DESTIN | 7.9% | 12.69 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 6.0% | 16.64 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 5.4% | 18.42 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 4.5% | 22.31 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 4.1% | 24.30 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPREME PLUS | 3.5% | 28.89 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 1.0% | 98.20 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | GORGEOUS INHERITOR | 0.6% | 164.01 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 45
PLACE
1 19
2 21.5
12 16
QUINELLA
1,2 149
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 50.5
1,12 43
2,12 54.5
TIERCE
1,2,12 669
TRIO
1,2,12 107
FIRST 4
1,2,11,12 255
QUARTET
1,2,12,11 4,561
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,6/1,2,12 4,410
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 22
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
2/1 777
2/2 160