Sha Tin · 2020-01-19
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT 1.34.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 4 | 7.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ENZEMBLE Closed strongly H/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART PATCH Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 8 | 3.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | I DO Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 1 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY CP/XB/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 12 | 7.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | BELLAGIO Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 5 | 5.7 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER BULLET Closed strongly B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 337.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SUCH A HAPPINESS K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK Led early B T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 129.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MR ALDAN B/TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 9 | 11.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | JIMMU SR H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 118.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT XB K H Chan · D E Ferraris | K H Chan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 359.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-01-19 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHAMPION SUPREME, ridden by N Callan and trained by J Moore, won by 1, with ENZEMBLE second and SMART PATCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite SMART PATCH finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 24.5% | 4.08 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | BELLAGIO | 13.9% | 7.19 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | SMART PATCH | 13.5% | 7.41 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | MR ALDAN | 8.9% | 11.23 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | CHARITY GO | 7.5% | 13.29 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SUCH A HAPPINESS | 7.3% | 13.75 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 7.1% | 14.04 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | I DO | 5.4% | 18.69 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 4.9% | 20.43 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 2.1% | 48.77 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | ENZEMBLE | 1.8% | 56.16 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | JIMMU | 1.4% | 72.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | UNITE SPIRIT | 0.9% | 106.68 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | SUPER BULLET | 0.9% | 116.93 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 76.5
PLACE
2 16
4 22.5
11 51.5
QUINELLA
4,11 872.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 59.5
2,11 92
4,11 237.5
TIERCE
4,11,2 4,132
TRIO
2,4,11 699
FIRST 4
2,4,6,11 1,300
QUARTET
4,11,2,6 37,310
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 28
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/2,4,11 5,233
9TH DOUBLE
11/4 620.5
11/11 161.5
SIX UP
1,3/4,12/1,7/2,3/8,11/4,11 1,910
3/12/1/3/11/4 2,287,193
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
3/11/4 3,535
3/11/11 1,524