沙田 · 2020-02-08
第 5場
2020-02-08沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的WORLD FAMOUS勝出，贏出N。ENZEMBLE獲得亞軍；CHAMPION SUPREME獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門BLASTOISE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WORLD FAMOUS 後段發力 B/XB 1.46.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 13 | 6.9 | N |
| 2 | 11 | ENZEMBLE 後段發力 H/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.6 | N |
| 3 | 3 | CHAMPION SUPREME 後段發力 B/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 5.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | MORE THAN A HORSE 後段發力 B/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | BLASTOISE SR1 J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 9 | 4.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | I DO V-/B2/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 9.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | CHARITY GO 後段發力 SR T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | HAPPY SEBRING 後段發力 PC-/B2/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 5 | 5.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | SUCH A HAPPINESS 後段發力 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 108.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE SR/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard | M Chadwick | A T Millard | 14 | 45.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | JIMMU SR H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 3 | 300.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | SUPER BULLET K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 369.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | EPIC CP-/B1 M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 11 | 172.0 | 23-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | SUPERBELLA 早段領放 B1 G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 12 | 70.0 | 33-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | BLASTOISE | 37.9% | 2.64 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | WORLD FAMOUS | 10.3% | 9.72 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | ENZEMBLE | 7.6% | 13.23 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 6.4% | 15.55 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | CHARITY GO | 6.2% | 16.24 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY SEBRING | 5.7% | 17.68 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | I DO | 5.5% | 18.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | MORE THAN A HORSE | 5.3% | 18.73 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | SUPERBELLA | 5.0% | 20.02 | 14 |
| 10 | 12 | SUCH A HAPPINESS | 3.4% | 29.81 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | GIANT TURTLE | 2.5% | 39.94 | 10 |
| 12 | 14 | JIMMU | 1.7% | 58.04 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | EPIC | 1.5% | 67.65 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER BULLET | 1.1% | 88.24 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 69.5
PLACE
3 21.5
4 23.5
11 18
QUINELLA
4,11 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 77
3,11 65
4,11 77
TIERCE
4,11,3 3,150
TRIO
3,4,11 435
FIRST 4
3,4,10,11 2,072
QUARTET
4,11,3,10 49,563
3 PICK 1
A2 20
A3 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
12/4 318
12/11 21