沙田 · 2020-02-08
第 2場
2020-02-08沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、J Moore訓練的SAVVY SEVEN勝出，贏出N。SHINEALOT獲得亞軍；MCMUNIGAL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門LITTLE GENERAL跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SAVVY SEVEN 後段發力 B/TT 1.49.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 1 | 7.9 | N |
| 2 | 8 | SHINEALOT 後段發力 Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | MCMUNIGAL 早段領放 B/TT H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 13 | 34.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | GREAT HARVEST B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY 後段發力 SR/TT J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 6 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | BRING IT ON TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | ART OF RAW H/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 14 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CHIU CHOW KID 後段發力 TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | LITTLE GENERAL T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 8 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLD VELVET B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 5 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | GOLDEN KID B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | SKY GEM P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | WONDERFUL TIGER 後段發力 H/XB/TT G van Niekerk · W Y So | G van Niekerk | W Y So | 11 | 23.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 14 | BANDY V-/B2 H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 238.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING AGILITY | 19.5% | 5.12 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | SHINEALOT | 13.7% | 7.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | SKY GEM | 11.2% | 8.89 | 12 |
| 4 | 4 | LITTLE GENERAL | 10.5% | 9.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | GREAT HARVEST | 9.5% | 10.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SAVVY SEVEN | 7.9% | 12.71 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | GOLD VELVET | 7.0% | 14.34 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLDEN KID | 5.3% | 18.73 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | ART OF RAW | 4.6% | 21.66 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 3.7% | 26.98 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | MCMUNIGAL | 2.4% | 40.96 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | BRING IT ON | 1.8% | 56.21 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | CHIU CHOW KID | 1.7% | 57.79 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | BANDY | 1.1% | 91.40 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 79
PLACE
7 28
8 34.5
10 67.5
QUINELLA
7,8 420
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 159
7,10 397.5
8,10 538.5
TIERCE
7,8,10 18,535
TRIO
7,8,10 3,594
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 9,511
QUARTET
7,8,10,9 185,213
1ST DOUBLE
12/7 486.5
12/8 101.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 32.5
A1 —
A3 —