沙田 · 2020-02-08
第 1場
2020-02-08沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的EL JEFE勝出，贏出3/4。ZERO HEDGE獲得亞軍；DUBLIN STAR獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門DUBLIN STAR跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | EL JEFE B-/XB1/TT 0.57.18 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 13 | 8.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 4 | 21.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR H-/B1 J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 12 | 1.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | HERE COMES TED B H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 1 | 32.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | FIGHTER BOY G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 11 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 10 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | QIPAO BOSS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND B1 A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 5 | 111.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPY VICTORY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SPICY GRILL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 101.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SMART WONGCHOY XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.5 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | AIOLOS H-/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 14 | 91.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 5 | BRAVE BABY B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 2 | 96.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | ALL THE WAY B1 L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 6 | 62.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | TRUST ME · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR | 22.2% | 4.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | EL JEFE | 13.1% | 7.61 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SMART WONGCHOY | 11.9% | 8.41 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | FIGHTER BOY | 11.0% | 9.13 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | STOCK LEGEND | 8.1% | 12.31 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | ZERO HEDGE | 7.9% | 12.72 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | SPICY GRILL | 5.9% | 16.88 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY VICTORY | 5.2% | 19.28 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | BRAVE BABY | 3.9% | 25.78 | 13 |
| 10 | 1 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 3.4% | 29.63 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | QIPAO BOSS | 3.3% | 30.63 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | ALL THE WAY | 1.5% | 67.41 | 14 |
| 13 | 13 | AIOLOS | 1.4% | 70.07 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | HERE COMES TED | 1.3% | 77.46 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 88
PLACE
3 38.5
6 15
12 17
QUINELLA
3,12 536
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 68.5
3,12 142.5
6,12 24
TIERCE
12,3,6 2,873
TRIO
3,6,12 257
FIRST 4
3,6,12,14 726
QUARTET
12,3,6,14 26,779
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 48.5
A1 —