沙田 · 2020-02-08
第 6場
2020-02-08沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、P F Yiu訓練的LONE EAGLE勝出，贏出3/4。MR WEALTH獲得亞軍；MEGA HEART獲得季軍。4.0倍大熱門WINNING METHOD跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | LONE EAGLE XB-/TT2 1.09.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 12 | 36.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | MR WEALTH H/P T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 10 | 42.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | MEGA HEART XB/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 8 | 4.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL H- K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 7.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | JUST NOT LISTENING CP2 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | COBY OPPA B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 7 | 4.6 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY TIME TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 3 | 25.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | THE WEATHERMAN P2 A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 125.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | WINNING METHOD B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 11 | 4.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | AQUILA C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 6.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR P/TT L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 2 | 43.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 146.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | COBY OPPA | 19.6% | 5.09 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | LONE EAGLE | 14.9% | 6.70 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | WINNING METHOD | 13.2% | 7.59 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | MEGA HEART | 12.3% | 8.11 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | AQUILA | 11.6% | 8.64 | 10 |
| 6 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL | 6.2% | 16.15 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | MR WEALTH | 6.1% | 16.48 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | JUST NOT LISTENING | 4.5% | 22.25 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR | 4.1% | 24.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPY TIME | 3.9% | 25.92 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 1.9% | 52.03 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | THE WEATHERMAN | 1.7% | 58.03 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 365.5
PLACE
1 90
2 89
4 14.5
QUINELLA
1,2 3,755.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 904.5
1,4 205.5
2,4 194
TIERCE
1,2,4 26,755
TRIO
1,2,4 3,339
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 5,569
QUARTET
1,2,4,12 239,475
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 48.5
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 2,264
4/2 463.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,4,12/3,4,11/1,2,4 1,233,960
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,12/3,4,11/Any Combination 6,367