沙田 · 2020-02-08
第 9場
2020-02-08沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、R Gibson訓練的GOLD CHEST勝出，贏出NOSE。DUKE WAI獲得亞軍；COUNTRY STAR獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門DUKE WAI跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT 1.09.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 10 | 24.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 6 | DUKE WAI B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 3.3 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | COUNTRY STAR G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 2 | 51.0 | N |
| 4 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 4 | 242.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | COMPUTER PATCH XB/H1 A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 5 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | VOYAGE WARRIOR C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 1 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 8 | 11 | RACING FIGHTER TT H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 11 | 79.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | HONG KONG BET TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 7 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | STYLING CITY B/TT1 L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 6 | 152.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 3.9 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | KINGS SHIELD CP K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 87.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 21.2% | 4.71 | 11 |
| 2 | 10 | COMPUTER PATCH | 19.1% | 5.24 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 16.6% | 6.01 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | DUKE WAI | 15.4% | 6.48 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | KINGS SHIELD | 9.2% | 10.88 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | HONG KONG BET | 4.4% | 22.75 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | WATER DIVINER | 3.9% | 25.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | COUNTRY STAR | 3.6% | 27.69 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | GOLD CHEST | 2.6% | 38.67 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | RACING FIGHTER | 1.7% | 57.28 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | STYLING CITY | 1.3% | 79.84 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 0.9% | 107.61 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 249
PLACE
2 91.5
6 15
12 41.5
QUINELLA
6,12 329.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 243.5
2,12 1,030
6,12 85.5
TIERCE
12,6,2 26,659
TRIO
2,6,12 3,493
FIRST 4
2,3,6,12 25,526
QUARTET
12,6,2,3 1,000,184
3 PICK 1
A3 76.5
A2 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
1,7,11/6 10.5
1,7,11/12 596