Sha Tin · 2020-02-08
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SAVVY SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT 1.49.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Moore | A Badel | J Moore | 1 | 7.9 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SHINEALOT Closed strongly Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL Led early B/TT H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 13 | 34.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY Closed strongly SR/TT J Moreira · L Ho | J Moreira | L Ho | 6 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BRING IT ON TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ART OF RAW H/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 14 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID Closed strongly TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL T Piccone · C S Shum | T Piccone | C S Shum | 8 | 4.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOLD VELVET B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 5 | 35.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN KID B N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SKY GEM P/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER Closed strongly H/XB/TT G van Niekerk · W Y So | G van Niekerk | W Y So | 11 | 23.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | BANDY V-/B2 H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 9 | 238.0 | 10-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-08 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SAVVY SEVEN, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Moore, won by N, with SHINEALOT second and MCMUNIGAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite LITTLE GENERAL finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING AGILITY | 19.5% | 5.12 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SHINEALOT | 13.7% | 7.31 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SKY GEM | 11.2% | 8.89 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | LITTLE GENERAL | 10.5% | 9.51 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | GREAT HARVEST | 9.5% | 10.55 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVVY SEVEN | 7.9% | 12.71 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLD VELVET | 7.0% | 14.34 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN KID | 5.3% | 18.73 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 4.6% | 21.66 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 3.7% | 26.98 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | MCMUNIGAL | 2.4% | 40.96 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | BRING IT ON | 1.8% | 56.21 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | CHIU CHOW KID | 1.7% | 57.79 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | BANDY | 1.1% | 91.40 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 79
PLACE
7 28
8 34.5
10 67.5
QUINELLA
7,8 420
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 159
7,10 397.5
8,10 538.5
TIERCE
7,8,10 18,535
TRIO
7,8,10 3,594
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 9,511
QUARTET
7,8,10,9 185,213
1ST DOUBLE
12/7 486.5
12/8 101.5
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 32.5