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Sha Tin · 2020-02-08

Race 7

Class 2 GOOD 1600m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.34
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB 1.34.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu 1 1.8 HD
2 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H A Badel · D J Hall 4 11.0 HD
3 0 NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly T Piccone · T P Yung 5 10.0 1/2
4 0 HEZTHEWONFORUS SR C Schofield · J Size 3 13.0 3/4
5 0 CORDYCEPS B M Chadwick · K W Lui 2 6.4 1
6 0 GOOD STANDING Led early B/XB G van Niekerk · J Moore 12 19.0 2-1/4
7 0 GREEN LUCK B/H K H Chan · C Fownes 10 37.0 2-1/4
8 0 RIGHT CHOICE B M L Yeung · F C Lor 11 101.0 2-3/4
9 0 FLYING THUNDER XB K Teetan · F C Lor 6 16.0 2-3/4
10 0 TIME TO CELEBRATE Closed strongly B J Moreira · J Size 9 61.0 4
11 0 INSAYSHABLE SR- Z Purton · Y S Tsui 7 13.0 7
12 0 RICKFIELD XB M F Poon · A T Millard 8 76.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-08 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PRECIOUSSHIP, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with FAST MOST FURIOUS second and NOT USUAL TALENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRECIOUSSHIP—2. FAST MOST FURIOUS+0.2L3. NOT USUAL TALENT+0.5L4. HEZTHEWONFORUS+0.75L5. CORDYCEPS+1L6. GOOD STANDING+2.25L7. GREEN LUCK+2.25L8. RIGHT CHOICE+2.75L9. FLYING THUNDER+2.75L10. TIME TO CELEBRATE+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PRECIOUSSHIP (40.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PRECIOUSSHIP 40.5% 2.47 1
2 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS 11.9% 8.38 2
3 0 TIME TO CELEBRATE 6.9% 14.57 10
4 0 GOOD STANDING 6.3% 15.85 6
5 0 INSAYSHABLE 5.7% 17.61 11
6 0 HEZTHEWONFORUS 5.6% 17.91 4
7 0 NOT USUAL TALENT 5.4% 18.46 3
8 0 CORDYCEPS 5.3% 18.94 5
9 0 FLYING THUNDER 4.1% 24.30 9
10 0 RICKFIELD 3.2% 31.56 12
11 0 RIGHT CHOICE 2.9% 34.73 8
12 0 GREEN LUCK 2.3% 43.65 7
PRECIOUSSHIP — wonFAST MOST FURIOUSTIME TO CELEBRATEGOOD STANDINGINSAYSHABLEHEZTHEWONFORUSNOT USUAL TALENTCORDYCEPSFLYING THUNDERRICKFIELDRIGHT CHOICEGREEN LUCK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 18.5

PLACE

2 21.5

6 25.5

7 12

QUINELLA

2,7 104.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 127.5

2,7 34.5

6,7 43

TIERCE

7,2,6 725

TRIO

2,6,7 216

FIRST 4

2,6,7,9 936

QUARTET

7,2,6,9 8,668

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,4/2,6,7 38,271

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 16.5

6TH DOUBLE

1/2 569.5

1/7 983.5