Sha Tin · 2020-02-08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-08 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PRECIOUSSHIP, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by HD, with FAST MOST FURIOUS second and NOT USUAL TALENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB 1.34.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 1.8 | HD |
| 2 | 2 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 4 | 11.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | NOT USUAL TALENT Closed strongly T Piccone · T P Yung | T Piccone | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | HEZTHEWONFORUS SR C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 3 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CORDYCEPS B M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 2 | 6.4 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | GOOD STANDING Led early B/XB G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 12 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GREEN LUCK B/H K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | RIGHT CHOICE B M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 11 | 101.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING THUNDER XB K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | TIME TO CELEBRATE Closed strongly B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 61.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 4 | INSAYSHABLE SR- Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 7 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | RICKFIELD XB M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 8 | 76.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 40.5% | 2.47 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 11.9% | 8.38 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 6.9% | 14.57 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | GOOD STANDING | 6.3% | 15.85 | 6 |
| 5 | 4 | INSAYSHABLE | 5.7% | 17.61 | 11 |
| 6 | 9 | HEZTHEWONFORUS | 5.6% | 17.91 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | NOT USUAL TALENT | 5.4% | 18.46 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | CORDYCEPS | 5.3% | 18.94 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | FLYING THUNDER | 4.1% | 24.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | RICKFIELD | 3.2% | 31.56 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | RIGHT CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | GREEN LUCK | 2.3% | 43.65 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 18.5
PLACE
2 21.5
6 25.5
7 12
QUINELLA
2,7 104.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 127.5
2,7 34.5
6,7 43
TIERCE
7,2,6 725
TRIO
2,6,7 216
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 936
QUARTET
7,2,6,9 8,668
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,6,7 38,271
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 16.5
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 569.5
1/7 983.5