Sha Tin · 2020-02-08
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE Closed strongly B/TT 1.21.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | TOP SCORE Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 4 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY Closed strongly CP/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 10 | 5.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 5.3 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON B T Piccone · A T Millard | T Piccone | A T Millard | 2 | 46.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HERCULES Closed strongly M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 75.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR CP H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 1 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 72.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE Led early B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 7.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHINING GEM CP L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 7 | 10.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING CP1/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 65.0 | 18 |
| — | 0 | CRAIG'S STAR J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-08 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT THREE, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3-1/2, with TOP SCORE second and GOOD BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT THREE | 23.4% | 4.27 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BIG FORTUNE | 15.2% | 6.57 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING GEM | 14.7% | 6.78 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 9.5% | 10.56 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD BEAUTY | 8.9% | 11.27 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | TOP SCORE | 6.1% | 16.47 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING LUCK | 5.0% | 19.86 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY FORCE | 5.0% | 20.01 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT PAIR | 4.1% | 24.24 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | PRANCE DRAGON | 3.4% | 29.58 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CANTSTOPTHEFEELING | 2.5% | 39.79 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | HERCULES | 2.2% | 45.97 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 25.5
PLACE
6 18
10 52.5
11 12.5
QUINELLA
10,11 267.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 160.5
6,11 36
10,11 92.5
TIERCE
11,10,6 1,346
TRIO
6,10,11 414
FIRST 4
3,6,10,11 1,210
QUARTET
11,10,6,3 18,382
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
7/1,7,11 27
7/10 115