Sha Tin · 2020-02-08
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GUY DRAGON Closed strongly XB/TT T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 37.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE Led early B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 10 | 46.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | FARHH ABOVE Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 6 | 1.7 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARIZARD Closed strongly B1/TT N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 3 | 9.4 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ENDEARING PC-/B2/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 13 | 45.0 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 14 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DADDY TT- A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 7.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FOLLOW ME TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 32.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER FAST C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 8 | 83.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT Closed strongly H T Mo · C Fownes | H T Mo | C Fownes | 7 | 38.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO B H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 4 | 525.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | COBY BA H1 H W Lai · K W Lui | H W Lai | K W Lui | 11 | 386.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SO GLORIOUS H- M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 456.0 | 8-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-08 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY LOYAL, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with GUY DRAGON second and HINCHINLOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.7 favourite FARHH ABOVE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 25.8% | 3.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | FARHH ABOVE | 18.7% | 5.36 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHARIZARD | 9.4% | 10.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY BO BO | 7.9% | 12.64 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA DADDY | 6.8% | 14.63 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 5.6% | 17.82 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FOLLOW ME | 5.4% | 18.49 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | GUY DRAGON | 5.4% | 18.59 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | ENDEARING | 4.7% | 21.08 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | DEFINING MOMENT | 4.1% | 24.15 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER FAST | 2.6% | 38.52 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | COBY BA | 1.9% | 52.52 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 1.0% | 103.79 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | SO GLORIOUS | 0.6% | 155.81 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 55.5
PLACE
5 64
7 57.5
11 17
QUINELLA
7,11 719.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 776
5,11 197.5
7,11 181.5
TIERCE
11,7,5 25,357
TRIO
5,7,11 5,370
FIRST 4
3,5,7,11 729
5,6,7,11 4,830
QUARTET
11,7,5,3 40,568
11,7,5,6 97,466
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A2 —
A3 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,12/5,7,11 2,292,045
9TH DOUBLE
12/7 1,185.5
12/11 1,445
SIX UP
4,11/1,2/2,7/1,7,10,11/6,12/7,11 48,547
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
1,7,11/12/7 3,229
1,7,11/12/11 3,177