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Sha Tin · 2020-02-08

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1800m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.46.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 WORLD FAMOUS Closed strongly B/XB 1.46.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu 13 6.9 N
2 0 ENZEMBLE Closed strongly H/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 5.6 N
3 0 CHAMPION SUPREME Closed strongly B/TT N Callan · J Moore 7 5.6 1-1/2
4 0 MORE THAN A HORSE Closed strongly B/SR A Badel · D J Whyte 6 32.0 1-3/4
5 0 BLASTOISE SR1 J Moreira · D E Ferraris 9 4.1 2
6 0 I DO V-/B2/TT K Teetan · W Y So 10 9.5 2-1/4
7 0 CHARITY GO Closed strongly SR T Piccone · C S Shum 2 10.0 4-3/4
8 0 HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly PC-/B2/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 5 5.5 6-1/4
9 0 SUCH A HAPPINESS Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung 8 108.0 6-1/2
10 0 GIANT TURTLE SR/TT M Chadwick · A T Millard 14 45.0 8-1/2
11 0 JIMMU SR H W Lai · Y S Tsui 3 300.0 10
12 0 SUPER BULLET K C Leung · P O'Sullivan 4 369.0 12-3/4
13 0 EPIC CP-/B1 M F Poon · R Gibson 11 172.0 23-1/4
14 0 SUPERBELLA Led early B1 G van Niekerk · F C Lor 12 70.0 33-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-08 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. WORLD FAMOUS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with ENZEMBLE second and CHAMPION SUPREME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite BLASTOISE finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WORLD FAMOUS—2. ENZEMBLE+0.05L3. CHAMPION SUPREME+1.5L4. MORE THAN A HORSE+1.75L5. BLASTOISE+2L6. I DO+2.25L7. CHARITY GO+4.75L8. HAPPY SEBRING+6.25L9. SUCH A HAPPINESS+6.5L10. GIANT TURTLE+8.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BLASTOISE (37.9%) finished 5th — the winner WORLD FAMOUS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BLASTOISE 37.9% 2.64 5
2 0 WORLD FAMOUS 10.3% 9.72 1
3 0 ENZEMBLE 7.6% 13.23 2
4 0 CHAMPION SUPREME 6.4% 15.55 3
5 0 CHARITY GO 6.2% 16.24 7
6 0 HAPPY SEBRING 5.7% 17.68 8
7 0 I DO 5.5% 18.20 6
8 0 MORE THAN A HORSE 5.3% 18.73 4
9 0 SUPERBELLA 5.0% 20.02 14
10 0 SUCH A HAPPINESS 3.4% 29.81 9
11 0 GIANT TURTLE 2.5% 39.94 10
12 0 JIMMU 1.7% 58.04 11
13 0 EPIC 1.5% 67.65 13
14 0 SUPER BULLET 1.1% 88.24 12
BLASTOISEWORLD FAMOUS — wonENZEMBLECHAMPION SUPREMECHARITY GOHAPPY SEBRINGI DOMORE THAN A HORSESUPERBELLASUCH A HAPPINESSGIANT TURTLEJIMMUEPICSUPER BULLET

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 69.5

PLACE

3 21.5

4 23.5

11 18

QUINELLA

4,11 225.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 77

3,11 65

4,11 77

TIERCE

4,11,3 3,150

TRIO

3,4,11 435

FIRST 4

3,4,10,11 2,072

QUARTET

4,11,3,10 49,563

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 20

All pools (1 more)

4TH DOUBLE

12/4 318

12/11 21