沙田 · 2020-03-29
第 1場
2020-03-29沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、W Y So訓練的SOCCER MASTER勝出，贏出1。LIVERBIRD STAR獲得亞軍；KWAI CHUNG ELITE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門HURRICANE HUNTER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SOCCER MASTER 後段發力 B/TT 1.23.19 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | LIVERBIRD STAR 後段發力 B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE H/B1/TT1 G van Niekerk · R Gibson | G van Niekerk | R Gibson | 8 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER 後段發力 J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 9 | 2.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | HUMBLE STEED 後段發力 V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 4 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BLAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | GLORIAM V-/TT- T H So · P F Yiu | T H So | P F Yiu | 10 | 108.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN CANNON 後段發力 B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | MONEY WINNER 後段發力 B-/V2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 258.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | BIG BULLY 後段發力 B/TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 14 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SPICY REALLY B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 6.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | PLEASANT GUY 早段領放 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | SPEEDY MISSILE B-/P1/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 114.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MY DEAR B2/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 176.0 | 17-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 24.3% | 4.11 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 18.0% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SPICY REALLY | 12.6% | 7.94 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 9.1% | 10.93 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN CANNON | 8.2% | 12.14 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 4.8% | 20.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | BIG BULLY | 4.5% | 22.32 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | SOCCER MASTER | 3.9% | 25.32 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | PLEASANT GUY | 3.5% | 28.43 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | MY DEAR | 2.7% | 37.68 | 14 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 2.6% | 38.18 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | GLORIAM | 2.6% | 38.48 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | HUMBLE STEED | 1.8% | 55.85 | 5 |
| 14 | 12 | MONEY WINNER | 1.3% | 75.37 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 118.5
PLACE
4 19
8 30.5
13 29
QUINELLA
4,13 276
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 100
4,13 81.5
8,13 185.5
TIERCE
13,4,8 5,190
TRIO
4,8,13 866
FIRST 4
1,4,8,13 518
QUARTET
13,4,8,1 18,799
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A2 —
A1 —