沙田 · 2020-03-29
第 10場
2020-03-29沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的SHINING ACE勝出，贏出2-1/4。COMPUTER PATCH獲得亞軍；TRANSCENDENT獲得季軍。3.2倍大熱門PERFECT MATCH跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SHINING ACE B 1.09.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 9 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | COMPUTER PATCH XB M Chadwick · J Moore | M Chadwick | J Moore | 7 | 5.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | TRANSCENDENT TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HONG KONG BET TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 3 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | WATER DIVINER B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | DUKE WAI B K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 3.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | PERFECT MATCH B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 11 | 3.2 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | CALIFORNIA WHIP B/H/TT C Wong · A S Cruz | C Wong | A S Cruz | 2 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | GUNNISON M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 6 | 55.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 13 | SPEED VISION B/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 12 | 162.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 14 | GRACEANDMERCY H/XB G van Niekerk · A T Millard | G van Niekerk | A T Millard | 10 | 77.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | MISSION TYCOON B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 43.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | HELENA BABY B1 M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 13 | 359.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | SPEEDY KING H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 4 | 202.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | TRANSCENDENT | 26.9% | 3.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 3 | PERFECT MATCH | 17.7% | 5.66 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | DUKE WAI | 13.1% | 7.62 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | COMPUTER PATCH | 10.3% | 9.73 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SHINING ACE | 10.2% | 9.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | HONG KONG BET | 5.6% | 17.76 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | GUNNISON | 3.3% | 30.05 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | SPEED VISION | 3.2% | 31.37 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | WATER DIVINER | 2.6% | 38.21 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA WHIP | 2.1% | 47.81 | 8 |
| 11 | 14 | GRACEANDMERCY | 1.7% | 58.20 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | MISSION TYCOON | 1.5% | 67.73 | 12 |
| 13 | 2 | SPEEDY KING | 1.1% | 88.57 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | HELENA BABY | 0.7% | 150.72 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 123
PLACE
7 20
10 24
12 32.5
QUINELLA
7,12 354
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 73
7,12 107.5
10,12 136
TIERCE
12,7,10 5,791
TRIO
7,10,12 744
FIRST 4
7,9,10,12 2,869
QUARTET
12,7,10,9 76,567
3 PICK 1
A3 41.5
A2 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/7,10,12 184,763
9TH DOUBLE
4/7 34.5
4/12 633
SIX UP
2/1/13/12/4/12 60,859
2,6/1,4/6,13/4,12/4,6/7,12 3,335
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
12/4/7 213
12/4/12 2,642