沙田 · 2020-03-29
第 7場
2020-03-29沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、K L Man訓練的WAR OF COURAGE勝出，贏出SH。VALIANT DREAM獲得亞軍；LARSON獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | WAR OF COURAGE 0.56.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 12 | 2.5 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | VALIANT DREAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 10 | 7.7 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | LARSON CP K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 1 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HEART CONQUERED XB C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 14 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | MIG ENERGY TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 3 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ALLIED AGILITY H/TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 2 | 9.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | WHISKEY NEAT B/TT K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 11 | 289.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | FRUSTRATED B- M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 50.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 9 | 98.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CORRIENTHES SR1 G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 8 | 67.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 3.8 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | STANLEY PARK H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 13 | 223.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT CP/H1/XB1 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 6 | 293.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | LUCKY PUZZLE SR V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 5 | 180.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | WAR OF COURAGE | 24.1% | 4.15 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ALLIED AGILITY | 20.4% | 4.91 | 6 |
| 3 | 7 | GRATEFUL HEART | 12.9% | 7.73 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | LARSON | 10.6% | 9.44 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | VALIANT DREAM | 10.4% | 9.61 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | MIG ENERGY | 6.9% | 14.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | HEART CONQUERED | 6.5% | 15.27 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | FRUSTRATED | 2.8% | 35.21 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 1.5% | 65.02 | 9 |
| 10 | 12 | CORRIENTHES | 1.4% | 72.97 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | WHISKEY NEAT | 0.9% | 106.50 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | HELAKU KNIGHT | 0.6% | 177.33 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | STANLEY PARK | 0.5% | 207.22 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | LUCKY PUZZLE | 0.4% | 236.32 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 25.5
PLACE
6 21.5
8 22
13 13
QUINELLA
6,13 100.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 71.5
6,13 40
8,13 36.5
TIERCE
13,6,8 638
TRIO
6,8,13 170
FIRST 4
2,6,8,13 272
QUARTET
13,6,8,2 4,037
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,13/6,8,13 2,894
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
1/6 47.5
1/13 59