Sha Tin · 2020-03-29
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR Closed strongly B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE H/B1/TT1 G van Niekerk · R Gibson | G van Niekerk | R Gibson | 8 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HURRICANE HUNTER Closed strongly J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 9 | 2.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 4 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GLORIAM V-/TT- T H So · P F Yiu | T H So | P F Yiu | 10 | 108.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | MONEY WINNER Closed strongly B-/V2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 258.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BIG BULLY Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 14 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SPICY REALLY B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 6.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PLEASANT GUY Led early K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SPEEDY MISSILE B-/P1/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 114.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | MY DEAR B2/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 176.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-29 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SOCCER MASTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with LIVERBIRD STAR second and KWAI CHUNG ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite HURRICANE HUNTER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 24.3% | 4.11 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 18.0% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPICY REALLY | 12.6% | 7.94 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 9.1% | 10.93 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | GOLDEN CANNON | 8.2% | 12.14 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 4.8% | 20.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | BIG BULLY | 4.5% | 22.32 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SOCCER MASTER | 3.9% | 25.32 | 1 |
| 9 | 0 | PLEASANT GUY | 3.5% | 28.43 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | MY DEAR | 2.7% | 37.68 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 2.6% | 38.18 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | GLORIAM | 2.6% | 38.48 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 1.8% | 55.85 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | MONEY WINNER | 1.3% | 75.37 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 118.5
PLACE
4 19
8 30.5
13 29
QUINELLA
4,13 276
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 100
4,13 81.5
8,13 185.5
TIERCE
13,4,8 5,190
TRIO
4,8,13 866
FIRST 4
1,4,8,13 518
QUARTET
13,4,8,1 18,799
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A2 —
A1 —