Sha Tin · 2020-03-29
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-29 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SOCCER MASTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W Y So, won by 1, with LIVERBIRD STAR second and KWAI CHUNG ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite HURRICANE HUNTER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SOCCER MASTER Closed strongly B/TT 1.23.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | LIVERBIRD STAR Closed strongly B C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE H/B1/TT1 G van Niekerk · R Gibson | G van Niekerk | R Gibson | 8 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER Closed strongly J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 9 | 2.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 4 | 39.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | BLAZING PARTNERS Closed strongly SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 6 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | GLORIAM V-/TT- T H So · P F Yiu | T H So | P F Yiu | 10 | 108.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | GOLDEN CANNON Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | MONEY WINNER Closed strongly B-/V2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 258.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | BIG BULLY Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 14 | 27.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SPICY REALLY B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 6.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | PLEASANT GUY Led early K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 7 | 39.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 2 | SPEEDY MISSILE B-/P1/TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 114.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | MY DEAR B2/TT M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 11 | 176.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HURRICANE HUNTER | 24.3% | 4.11 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | LIVERBIRD STAR | 18.0% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | SPICY REALLY | 12.6% | 7.94 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | KWAI CHUNG ELITE | 9.1% | 10.93 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | GOLDEN CANNON | 8.2% | 12.14 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 4.8% | 20.89 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | BIG BULLY | 4.5% | 22.32 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | SOCCER MASTER | 3.9% | 25.32 | 1 |
| 9 | 5 | PLEASANT GUY | 3.5% | 28.43 | 12 |
| 10 | 14 | MY DEAR | 2.7% | 37.68 | 14 |
| 11 | 2 | SPEEDY MISSILE | 2.6% | 38.18 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | GLORIAM | 2.6% | 38.48 | 7 |
| 13 | 7 | HUMBLE STEED | 1.8% | 55.85 | 5 |
| 14 | 12 | MONEY WINNER | 1.3% | 75.37 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 118.5
PLACE
4 19
8 30.5
13 29
QUINELLA
4,13 276
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 100
4,13 81.5
8,13 185.5
TIERCE
13,4,8 5,190
TRIO
4,8,13 866
FIRST 4
1,4,8,13 518
QUARTET
13,4,8,1 18,799
3 PICK 1
A3 36.5
A2 —
A1 —